Model Predictions
| Model | Northwestern Wildcats | Illinois Fighting Illini | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 6.2% | 93.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 40.8% | 59.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 16.5% | 83.5% | +8.9 | ✗ (22.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.0% | 64.0% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 11.8% | 88.2% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 18.4% | 81.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 18.1% | 81.9% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Illinois Fighting Illini -14 (54-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Northwestern Wildcats
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Montgomery III | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. Hearn * | 39 | 4-7 | 3-5 | 9-10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 16 | - |
| J. Swopshire * | 36 | 4-7 | 2-3 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 10 | - |
| D. Sobolewski * | 34 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 5-7 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 9 | - |
| A. Olah * | 21 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -1 | - |
| K. Abrahamson * | 14 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | - |
| A. Marcotullio | 24 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 10 | - |
| T. Demps | 17 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 6-6 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 9 | - |
| M. Turner | 15 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
Illinois Fighting Illini
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D.J. Richardson * | 39 | 2-9 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 2 | - |
| B. Paul * | 34 | 9-17 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 6 | - |
| T. Abrams * | 26 | 3-9 | 0-3 | 4-7 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 5 | - |
| N. Egwu * | 25 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 | - |
| S. McLaurin * | 25 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | - |
| T. Griffey | 23 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 4-5 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 11 | - |
| J. Bertrand | 22 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Shaw | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| M. La Tulip | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
* = starter