Golden State
Model Outputs
2019-2020
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1126 (#13) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1084 (#35) | - |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +10.0 (#9) | HCA +1.8 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.294 (#33) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.288 (#30) | NetEff -9.8 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.506 (#30) | AdjNet +0.2 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.508 (#30) | AdjNet +0.3 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.491 (#30) | AdjO 110.3 | AdjD 110.7 |
2020 Schedule & Results
| Date | Vs/At | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2019-10-25 | vs | LAC | L | 122 - 141 |
| 2019-10-27 | @ | OKC | L | 92 - 120 |
| 2019-10-29 | @ | NOP | W | 134 - 123 |
| 2019-10-31 | vs | PHX | L | 110 - 121 |
| 2019-11-02 | vs | SAS | L | 110 - 127 |
| 2019-11-03 | vs | CHA | L | 87 - 93 |
| 2019-11-05 | vs | POR | W | 127 - 118 |
| 2019-11-07 | @ | HOU | L | 112 - 129 |
| 2019-11-09 | @ | MIN | L | 119 - 125 |
| 2019-11-10 | @ | OKC | L | 108 - 114 |
| 2019-11-12 | vs | UTA | L | 108 - 122 |
| 2019-11-14 | @ | LAL | L | 94 - 120 |
| 2019-11-16 | vs | BOS | L | 100 - 105 |
| 2019-11-18 | @ | NOP | L | 100 - 108 |
| 2019-11-20 | @ | MEM | W | 114 - 95 |
| 2019-11-20 | @ | DAL | L | 94 - 142 |
| 2019-11-23 | @ | UTA | L | 109 - 113 |
| 2019-11-26 | vs | OKC | L | 97 - 100 |
| 2019-11-28 | vs | CHI | W | 104 - 90 |
| 2019-11-30 | @ | MIA | L | 105 - 122 |
| 2019-12-01 | @ | ORL | L | 96 - 100 |
| 2019-12-03 | @ | ATL | L | 79 - 104 |
| 2019-12-04 | @ | CHA | L | 91 - 106 |
| 2019-12-06 | @ | CHI | W | 100 - 98 |
| 2019-12-10 | vs | MEM | L | 102 - 110 |
| 2019-12-12 | vs | NYK | L | 122 - 124 |
| 2019-12-14 | @ | UTA | L | 106 - 114 |
| 2019-12-16 | vs | SAC | L | 79 - 100 |
| 2019-12-19 | @ | POR | L | 112 - 122 |
| 2019-12-21 | vs | NOP | W | 106 - 102 |
| 2019-12-24 | vs | MIN | W | 113 - 104 |
| 2019-12-25 | vs | HOU | W | 116 - 104 |
| 2019-12-28 | vs | PHX | W | 105 - 96 |
| 2019-12-29 | vs | DAL | L | 121 - 141 |
| 2020-01-01 | @ | SAS | L | 113 - 117 |
| 2020-01-03 | @ | MIN | L | 84 - 99 |
| 2020-01-05 | vs | DET | L | 104 - 111 |
| 2020-01-07 | @ | SAC | L | 98 - 111 |
| 2020-01-09 | vs | MIL | L | 98 - 107 |
| 2020-01-11 | @ | LAC | L | 100 - 109 |
| 2020-01-12 | @ | MEM | L | 102 - 122 |
| 2020-01-15 | vs | DAL | L | 97 - 124 |
| 2020-01-17 | vs | DEN | L | 131 - 134 |
| 2020-01-19 | vs | ORL | W | 109 - 95 |
| 2020-01-21 | @ | POR | L | 124 - 129 |
| 2020-01-23 | vs | UTA | L | 96 - 129 |
| 2020-01-24 | vs | IND | L | 118 - 129 |
| 2020-01-28 | @ | PHI | L | 104 - 115 |
| 2020-01-30 | @ | BOS | L | 104 - 119 |
| 2020-02-01 | @ | CLE | W | 131 - 112 |
| 2020-02-03 | @ | WAS | W | 125 - 117 |
| 2020-02-05 | @ | BKN | L | 88 - 129 |
| 2020-02-08 | vs | LAL | L | 120 - 125 |
| 2020-02-10 | vs | MIA | L | 101 - 113 |
| 2020-02-12 | @ | PHX | L | 106 - 112 |
| 2020-02-20 | vs | HOU | L | 105 - 135 |
| 2020-02-23 | vs | NOP | L | 101 - 115 |
| 2020-02-25 | vs | SAC | L | 94 - 112 |
| 2020-02-27 | vs | LAL | L | 86 - 116 |
| 2020-03-01 | @ | PHX | W | 115 - 99 |
| 2020-03-02 | vs | WAS | L | 110 - 124 |
| 2020-03-03 | @ | DEN | W | 116 - 100 |
| 2020-03-05 | vs | TOR | L | 113 - 121 |
| 2020-03-07 | vs | PHI | W | 118 - 114 |
| 2020-03-10 | vs | LAC | L | 107 - 131 |
2020 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
D'Angelo Russell
|
SG | 33 | 31.7 | 23.6 | 3.7 | 6.2 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 19.2 | 15.5 | - | - | - | 43.0 | 37.4 | 78.5 | - | 55.8 | 52.4 |
Stephen Curry
|
PG | 5 | 27.6 | 20.8 | 5.2 | 6.6 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 16.4 | 17.6 | - | - | - | 40.2 | 24.5 | 100.0 | - | 55.7 | 47.6 |
Andrew Wiggins
|
SG | 12 | 33.1 | 19.4 | 4.6 | 3.6 | 1.3 | 1.4 | 0.0 | 15.7 | 14.7 | - | - | - | 45.7 | 33.9 | 67.2 | - | 54.2 | 51.1 |
Alec Burks
|
SG | 48 | 28.4 | 16.1 | 4.7 | 3.1 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 12.5 | 12.8 | - | - | - | 40.6 | 37.5 | 89.7 | - | 55.2 | 47.6 |
Eric Paschall
|
SF | 60 | 27.1 | 13.9 | 4.6 | 2.1 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 10.7 | 10.7 | - | - | - | 49.7 | 28.7 | 77.4 | - | 57.1 | 52.6 |
Glenn Robinson III
|
SG | 48 | 31.0 | 12.9 | 4.7 | 1.8 | 0.9 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 10.6 | 10.0 | - | - | - | 48.1 | 40.0 | 85.1 | - | 57.4 | 54.8 |
Damion Lee
|
SG | 49 | 28.6 | 12.7 | 4.9 | 2.7 | 1.0 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 10.4 | 11.0 | - | - | - | 41.7 | 35.6 | 87.3 | - | 54.8 | 50.0 |
Mychal Mulder
|
G | 7 | 28.6 | 11.0 | 3.3 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.0 | 9.6 | 6.3 | - | - | - | 38.8 | 30.8 | 75.0 | - | 53.3 | 50.7 |
Marquese Chriss
|
PF | 59 | 19.8 | 9.3 | 6.2 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 1.1 | 0.0 | 6.5 | 12.6 | - | - | - | 54.5 | 20.5 | 76.9 | - | 60.4 | 55.6 |
| Dragan Bender | C | 9 | 21.2 | 9.0 | 5.9 | 2.1 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 7.9 | 10.0 | - | - | - | 43.7 | 32.4 | 72.7 | - | 53.4 | 51.4 |
Jordan Poole
|
SG | 57 | 21.9 | 8.8 | 2.1 | 2.4 | 0.6 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 8.8 | 5.2 | - | - | - | 33.3 | 27.9 | 79.8 | - | 45.4 | 40.6 |
| Jeremy Pargo | - | 3 | 14.3 | 8.3 | 1.0 | 2.7 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 7.3 | 5.0 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 42.9 | 0.0 | - | 55.7 | 56.8 |
| Draymond Green | PF | 43 | 27.9 | 8.0 | 6.2 | 6.2 | 1.4 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 7.3 | 15.2 | - | - | - | 38.9 | 27.9 | 75.9 | - | 48.9 | 44.6 |
Willie Cauley-Stein
|
C | 41 | 22.5 | 7.9 | 6.2 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 1.2 | 0.0 | 6.3 | 11.6 | - | - | - | 56.0 | 0 | 61.4 | - | 57.3 | 56.0 |
| Omari Spellman | C | 49 | 17.6 | 7.6 | 4.5 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 6.0 | 8.1 | - | - | - | 43.1 | 39.1 | 79.3 | - | 55.1 | 50.3 |
| Ky Bowman | PG | 45 | 22.1 | 7.4 | 2.7 | 2.9 | 1.0 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 7.1 | 7.1 | - | - | - | 41.7 | 30.8 | 82.9 | - | 49.4 | 46.9 |
Juan Toscano-Anderson
|
SF | 13 | 20.3 | 5.3 | 4.0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 4.8 | 7.8 | - | - | - | 46.0 | 34.8 | 60.0 | - | 52.9 | 52.4 |
| Jacob Evans | G | 27 | 14.8 | 4.7 | 1.5 | 1.1 | 0.4 | 0.4 | 0.0 | 4.9 | 3.3 | - | - | - | 33.8 | 34.2 | 86.2 | - | 43.9 | 38.7 |
Alen Smailagic
|
- | 14 | 9.4 | 4.2 | 1.9 | 0.9 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 2.9 | 4.7 | - | - | - | 50.0 | 23.1 | 84.2 | - | 61.0 | 53.8 |
Kevon Looney
|
PF | 20 | 12.6 | 3.4 | 3.3 | 1.0 | 0.6 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 4.0 | 4.7 | - | - | - | 36.7 | 7.1 | 75.0 | - | 40.3 | 37.3 |
| Zach Norvell Jr. | - | 3 | 11.7 | 3.3 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 3.7 | 3.0 | - | - | - | 27.3 | 37.5 | 100.0 | - | 43.7 | 40.9 |
Chasson Randle
|
- | 3 | 13.0 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 1.7 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 3.3 | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 83.3 | - | 37.7 | 0.0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
Not enough players with both Numbers/Game and RAPM to plot.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG