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2020-03-10

Model Predictions

Model LA Clippers Golden State Warriors Spread Result
Elo 46.4% 53.6% -
Bradley-Terry 48.3% 51.7% -
Margin 46.3% 53.7% +0.8 (24.8 off)
Pythagorean 66.0% 34.0% -
Efficiency 89.7% 10.3% -
Adjusted Efficiency 82.8% 17.2% -
Log Adjusted 82.8% 17.2% -
Points Off/Def 72.0% 28.0% -

Actual: Golden State Warriors -24 (107-131). Predictions use season-end ratings.

LA Clippers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Kawhi Leonard * 25 9-14 2-5 3-3 4 5 2 0 23 20 -
Paul George * 22 5-13 3-7 2-2 1 5 1 0 15 9 -
Marcus Morris Sr. * 22 3-4 2-3 1-1 4 2 0 0 9 11 -
Patrick Beverley * 20 5-10 4-5 1-1 3 2 0 0 15 10 -
Ivica Zubac * 19 1-2 0-0 2-2 12 0 0 1 4 15 -
Landry Shamet 26 2-10 1-7 5-5 1 5 1 0 10 7 -
JaMychal Green 25 5-8 3-6 0-0 10 2 0 0 13 17 -
Rodney McGruder 21 1-4 0-2 2-2 5 0 1 0 4 6 -
Montrezl Harrell 19 6-12 0-1 2-2 4 2 0 0 14 8 -
Reggie Jackson 19 6-7 3-4 1-1 0 4 0 1 16 14 -
Amir Coffey 8 1-5 0-1 0-0 1 1 0 0 2 -1 -
Patrick Patterson 8 2-3 2-3 0-0 2 0 0 0 6 5 -

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Andrew Wiggins * 32 8-16 3-8 2-4 2 3 0 0 21 10 -
Damion Lee * 30 2-6 2-5 2-2 5 3 1 0 8 11 -
Marquese Chriss * 27 3-5 0-0 4-4 10 2 0 0 10 17 -
Mychal Mulder * 26 1-9 0-7 1-2 4 0 0 0 3 -2 -
Juan Toscano-Anderson * 0 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
Eric Paschall 32 4-12 1-4 3-4 2 7 0 0 12 9 -
Jordan Poole 26 6-10 2-6 3-4 1 3 1 0 17 12 -
Dragan Bender 25 8-12 2-5 5-5 7 3 0 0 23 21 -
Ky Bowman 24 5-6 1-2 0-0 4 1 0 0 11 10 -
Chasson Randle 14 0-2 0-1 2-2 0 3 1 0 2 4 -

* = starter