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2020-02-27

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers Golden State Warriors Spread Result
Elo 22.3% 77.7% -
Bradley-Terry 45.3% 54.7% -
Margin 38.4% 61.6% +2.6 (32.6 off)
Pythagorean 66.7% 33.3% -
Efficiency 90.8% 9.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 84.7% 15.3% -
Log Adjusted 84.7% 15.3% -
Points Off/Def 74.0% 26.0% -

Actual: Golden State Warriors -30 (86-116). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Davis * 25 6-13 1-3 10-12 6 1 2 2 23 - -
Rajon Rondo * 25 6-11 0-2 0-0 4 6 2 0 12 - -
Avery Bradley * 21 5-7 2-2 0-0 1 2 1 0 12 - -
Danny Green * 18 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 1 0 0 0 - -
JaVale McGee * 18 5-6 0-0 2-2 6 1 1 0 12 - -
Kyle Kuzma 28 8-17 1-4 1-2 3 3 1 0 18 - -
Dwight Howard 24 4-4 0-0 5-7 9 3 1 2 13 - -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope 22 4-8 1-4 0-1 3 1 2 0 9 - -
Markieff Morris 18 3-5 2-2 0-0 4 1 0 0 8 - -
Alex Caruso 15 0-5 0-1 0-2 4 3 1 1 0 - -
Jared Dudley 6 0-1 0-0 0-0 2 1 1 0 0 - -
Quinn Cook 6 3-6 1-3 0-0 0 1 1 0 7 - -
Troy Daniels 6 1-4 0-3 0-1 2 0 0 0 2 - -

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Damion Lee * 33 5-15 4-11 1-1 6 4 0 0 15 - -
Jordan Poole * 32 7-13 2-5 0-0 1 8 0 0 16 - -
Marquese Chriss * 23 2-5 0-0 0-0 7 4 0 1 4 - -
Dragan Bender * 22 2-6 0-4 0-0 4 1 2 0 4 - -
Draymond Green * 9 1-1 0-0 0-0 1 4 1 0 2 - -
Ky Bowman 30 5-9 1-2 0-0 3 2 2 1 11 - -
Eric Paschall 26 7-14 1-3 8-9 3 2 0 0 23 - -
Mychal Mulder 22 1-6 0-5 0-0 4 0 0 0 2 - -
Juan Toscano-Anderson 20 2-5 1-1 0-0 4 0 1 0 5 - -
Kevon Looney 19 2-6 0-1 0-0 4 2 1 1 4 - -

* = starter