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2019-12-06

Model Predictions

Model Golden State Warriors Chicago Bulls Spread Result
Elo 53.2% 46.8% -
Bradley-Terry 49.7% 50.3% -
Margin 54.5% 45.5% -1.0 (1.0 off)
Pythagorean 37.8% 62.2% -
Efficiency 25.2% 74.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 33.3% 66.7% -
Log Adjusted 33.3% 66.7% -
Points Off/Def 34.3% 65.7% -

Actual: Chicago Bulls -2 (98-100). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Glenn Robinson III * 33 8-12 2-4 2-2 7 0 2 0 20 - -
Eric Paschall * 31 5-10 0-2 3-4 3 2 2 1 13 - -
Draymond Green * 30 2-6 0-1 5-8 4 5 4 1 9 - -
D'Angelo Russell * 28 2-8 2-8 1-2 7 5 0 0 7 - -
Willie Cauley-Stein * 24 5-8 0-0 0-2 7 2 0 1 10 - -
Alec Burks 29 6-10 1-3 1-1 4 3 1 0 14 - -
Ky Bowman 20 3-4 2-3 0-0 0 6 0 0 8 - -
Marquese Chriss 15 4-6 1-1 0-0 3 1 0 1 9 - -
Omari Spellman 12 2-3 1-1 1-1 3 0 0 0 6 - -
Kevon Looney 7 1-1 0-0 1-1 1 0 0 0 3 - -
Jordan Poole 5 0-3 0-1 1-1 0 0 0 0 1 - -

Chicago Bulls

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Lauri Markkanen * 36 8-17 4-11 0-0 3 1 3 0 20 - -
Wendell Carter Jr. * 34 2-5 0-0 0-0 12 2 2 0 4 - -
Zach LaVine * 34 8-20 4-10 2-3 6 6 0 0 22 - -
Tomas Satoransky * 32 3-7 0-1 0-0 2 5 2 0 6 - -
Kris Dunn * 28 4-11 1-4 0-0 4 1 3 1 9 - -
Coby White 19 5-10 4-5 0-0 3 2 0 0 14 - -
Ryan Arcidiacono 15 1-4 1-4 0-0 2 1 0 0 3 - -
Daniel Gafford 13 3-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 6 - -
Denzel Valentine 13 4-8 3-4 0-0 2 2 1 0 11 - -
Shaquille Harrison 6 1-1 0-0 1-2 0 1 0 0 3 - -
Luke Kornet 5 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 - -

* = starter