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2020-02-12

Model Predictions

Model Golden State Warriors Phoenix Suns Spread Result
Elo 34.9% 65.1% -
Bradley-Terry 36.9% 63.1% -
Margin 37.0% 63.0% +2.9 (3.1 off)
Pythagorean 35.7% 64.3% -
Efficiency 19.5% 80.5% -
Adjusted Efficiency 27.1% 72.9% -
Log Adjusted 27.0% 73.0% -
Points Off/Def 30.1% 69.9% -

Actual: Phoenix Suns +6 (112-106). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Andrew Wiggins * 33 9-14 3-4 6-6 4 5 2 4 27 - -
Jordan Poole * 32 4-12 2-7 2-2 3 3 1 0 12 - -
Marquese Chriss * 31 7-11 0-1 4-6 12 3 0 3 18 - -
Damion Lee * 31 4-10 2-8 0-0 5 3 3 0 10 - -
Draymond Green * 30 2-5 1-2 1-1 6 9 1 0 6 - -
Eric Paschall 26 5-8 0-2 2-2 6 2 0 0 12 - -
Jeremy Pargo 20 6-11 3-5 0-0 1 2 0 0 15 - -
Juan Toscano-Anderson 14 2-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 4 - -
Zach Norvell Jr. 8 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -
Alen Smailagic 7 0-1 0-0 2-2 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Ky Bowman 4 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 - -

Phoenix Suns

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Devin Booker * 37 8-22 2-8 9-9 5 8 2 1 27 - -
Kelly Oubre Jr. * 32 5-16 3-10 2-2 6 0 0 0 15 - -
Mikal Bridges * 32 6-12 2-4 0-0 2 1 3 1 14 - -
Ricky Rubio * 23 4-8 1-1 0-0 5 9 2 0 9 - -
Cheick Diallo * 21 5-6 0-0 0-0 8 0 2 0 10 - -
Jonah Bolden 26 2-6 0-1 2-2 7 0 1 2 6 - -
Elie Okobo 22 5-9 1-4 1-2 2 3 0 0 12 - -
Jevon Carter 19 3-4 2-2 0-0 2 2 1 0 8 - -
Cameron Johnson 17 3-6 3-6 0-0 2 1 2 0 9 - -
Ty Jerome 8 1-2 0-1 0-0 1 1 1 0 2 - -

* = starter