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2020-03-07

Model Predictions

Model Philadelphia 76ers Golden State Warriors Spread Result
Elo 34.2% 65.8% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 43.9% 56.1% - ✓
Margin 40.1% 59.9% +2.2 ✓ (1.8 off)
Pythagorean 63.9% 36.1% - ✗
Efficiency 83.3% 16.7% - ✗
Adjusted Efficiency 77.2% 22.8% - ✗
Log Adjusted 77.2% 22.8% - ✗
Points Off/Def 66.0% 34.0% - ✗

Actual: Golden State Warriors +4 (118-114). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Philadelphia 76ers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Al Horford * 35 9-16 2-5 2-2 10 7 0 1 22 - -
Tobias Harris * 34 10-23 1-5 3-3 4 4 1 0 24 - -
Mike Scott * 33 3-8 2-4 1-2 10 3 0 0 9 - -
Shake Milton * 29 5-10 1-3 3-4 3 3 1 0 14 - -
Matisse Thybulle * 17 2-5 1-3 0-0 1 3 0 0 5 - -
Glenn Robinson III 28 4-5 2-2 5-5 6 3 1 1 15 - -
Furkan Korkmaz 24 1-5 1-5 0-0 3 1 0 0 3 - -
Raul Neto 18 3-4 1-1 4-4 0 3 0 0 11 - -
Alec Burks 17 4-8 2-6 1-2 4 2 0 0 11 - -

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Andrew Wiggins * 37 3-10 0-0 4-7 4 4 1 1 10 - -
Damion Lee * 34 10-17 3-8 1-1 6 3 0 0 24 - -
Marquese Chriss * 32 6-9 0-1 1-1 10 8 1 1 13 - -
Mychal Mulder * 31 5-10 3-7 5-6 1 3 0 0 18 - -
Juan Toscano-Anderson * 27 3-6 0-2 0-0 6 2 0 0 6 - -
Eric Paschall 29 8-12 0-1 7-7 3 6 0 0 23 - -
Jordan Poole 20 5-11 1-4 0-2 1 2 1 0 11 - -
Chasson Randle 13 0-1 0-0 3-4 1 1 1 0 3 - -
Dragan Bender 13 4-4 2-2 0-0 3 1 0 0 10 - -

* = starter