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2020-02-01

Model Predictions

Model Golden State Warriors Cleveland Cavaliers Spread Result
Elo 42.1% 57.9% - βœ—
Bradley-Terry 46.1% 53.9% - βœ—
Margin 48.8% 51.2% +0.3 βœ— (19.3 off)
Pythagorean 46.3% 53.7% - βœ—
Efficiency 44.9% 55.1% - βœ—
Adjusted Efficiency 48.3% 51.7% - βœ—
Log Adjusted 48.4% 51.6% - βœ—
Points Off/Def 44.7% 55.3% - βœ—

Actual: Cleveland Cavaliers -19 (112-131). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D'Angelo Russell * 28 6-14 6-11 1-2 7 8 0 0 19 - -
Damion Lee * 27 8-11 2-4 0-0 4 2 1 0 18 - -
Draymond Green * 25 3-6 2-5 0-0 7 16 2 2 8 - -
Glenn Robinson III * 25 9-13 3-5 1-2 1 1 3 1 22 - -
Marquese Chriss * 24 5-11 0-0 0-0 7 3 1 4 10 - -
Alec Burks 23 4-10 3-5 4-4 3 3 0 2 15 - -
Omari Spellman 22 4-8 1-3 3-3 5 1 1 0 12 - -
Eric Paschall 22 5-8 0-1 6-6 2 2 0 0 16 - -
Jacob Evans 13 3-3 0-0 0-0 1 0 1 0 6 - -
Kevon Looney 12 0-2 0-0 2-2 4 0 2 1 2 - -
Jordan Poole 12 1-4 1-1 0-0 3 3 0 0 3 - -

Cleveland Cavaliers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Collin Sexton * 33 9-16 3-5 2-2 2 4 3 0 23 - -
Darius Garland * 32 5-15 3-7 2-2 3 4 0 0 15 - -
Kevin Love * 29 5-13 2-9 2-2 11 5 1 0 14 - -
Tristan Thompson * 26 3-9 0-0 0-0 11 3 1 1 6 - -
Cedi Osman * 21 4-7 2-3 0-0 0 3 2 0 10 - -
Kevin Porter Jr. 23 5-12 3-9 6-6 3 2 0 0 19 - -
Larry Nance Jr. 22 5-10 2-4 0-0 5 2 0 0 12 - -
Alfonzo McKinnie 18 2-4 1-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 5 - -
DantΓ© Exum 15 2-6 0-4 2-2 3 1 0 0 6 - -
John Henson 14 1-3 0-1 0-0 4 2 0 2 2 - -
Marques Bolden 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 - -

* = starter