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2020-02-20

Model Predictions

Model Houston Rockets Golden State Warriors Spread Result
Elo 31.6% 68.4% -
Bradley-Terry 34.5% 65.5% -
Margin 30.4% 69.6% +4.6 (34.6 off)
Pythagorean 63.8% 36.2% -
Efficiency 85.9% 14.1% -
Adjusted Efficiency 78.9% 21.1% -
Log Adjusted 78.9% 21.1% -
Points Off/Def 68.4% 31.6% -

Actual: Golden State Warriors -30 (105-135). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Houston Rockets

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
P.J. Tucker * 30 5-6 5-5 0-0 5 1 0 0 15 - -
James Harden * 30 6-16 3-12 14-15 3 10 3 2 29 - -
Russell Westbrook * 30 10-19 1-2 0-0 5 10 1 0 21 - -
Robert Covington * 27 7-13 5-10 1-1 5 1 0 4 20 - -
Danuel House Jr. * 18 4-7 3-4 0-0 3 1 0 0 11 - -
Jeff Green 24 6-7 4-5 1-2 4 0 1 0 17 - -
Austin Rivers 24 3-6 1-3 0-0 4 3 3 0 7 - -
Ben McLemore 20 3-4 3-4 0-0 3 1 1 0 9 - -
DeMarre Carroll 13 0-0 0-0 2-2 3 4 0 0 2 - -
Thabo Sefolosha 8 0-4 0-2 2-2 0 0 3 0 2 - -
Michael Frazier II 6 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 - -
Bruno Caboclo 5 0-1 0-1 0-0 1 0 2 1 0 - -

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Jordan Poole * 32 7-15 3-10 2-3 4 2 1 0 19 - -
Damion Lee * 28 4-12 1-7 4-4 3 3 2 0 13 - -
Andrew Wiggins * 28 10-17 2-4 0-0 3 0 1 2 22 - -
Draymond Green * 18 2-6 0-4 0-0 4 7 0 0 4 - -
Marquese Chriss * 17 4-8 0-0 2-2 5 2 0 1 10 - -
Eric Paschall 31 5-7 1-1 1-1 6 2 0 1 12 - -
Ky Bowman 27 4-9 0-3 0-1 5 1 2 2 8 - -
Juan Toscano-Anderson 24 5-8 0-2 0-0 6 5 2 1 10 - -
Kevon Looney 18 2-5 0-1 0-0 1 2 2 0 4 - -
Alen Smailagic 11 1-2 0-1 1-1 3 2 1 0 3 - -

* = starter