Model Predictions
| Model | Golden State Warriors | Dallas Mavericks | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 56.7% | 43.3% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 42.7% | 57.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 38.8% | 61.2% | +2.5 | ✓ (45.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 28.3% | 71.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 4.6% | 95.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 10.8% | 89.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 10.8% | 89.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 18.3% | 81.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Dallas Mavericks +48 (142-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Golden State Warriors
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eric Paschall * | 40 | 8-19 | 1-4 | 5-9 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 22 | 11 | - | |
| Ky Bowman * | 32 | 7-10 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 16 | 11 | - | |
| Glenn Robinson III * | 28 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 5 | - | |
| Alec Burks * | 28 | 3-11 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - | |
| Willie Cauley-Stein * | 25 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | - | |
| Jordan Poole | 30 | 5-14 | 0-4 | 1-2 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 5 | - | |
| Omari Spellman | 28 | 4-11 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 8 | - | |
| Marquese Chriss | 26 | 3-11 | 0-2 | 5-8 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 | 11 | - |
Dallas Mavericks
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luka Dončić * | 25 | 11-18 | 6-10 | 7-8 | 10 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 35 | 42 | - | |
| Kristaps Porziņģis * | 24 | 6-14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 14 | - | |
| Dwight Powell * | 24 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 8 | - | |
| Tim Hardaway Jr. * | 22 | 6-7 | 4-4 | 4-5 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 17 | - | |
| Dorian Finney-Smith * | 18 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 7 | - | |
| Justin Jackson | 29 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | - | |
| Jalen Brunson | 22 | 6-6 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 19 | - | |
| Boban Marjanović | 19 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 9 | - | |
| Delon Wright | 15 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-5 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 5 | - | |
| Maxi Kleber | 13 | 1-8 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | - | |
| Ryan Broekhoff | 12 | 3-5 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 10 | - | |
| Courtney Lee | 12 | 4-5 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 10 | - |
* = starter