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2020-02-25

Model Predictions

Model Sacramento Kings Golden State Warriors Spread Result
Elo 17.5% 82.5% - βœ—
Bradley-Terry 34.0% 66.0% - βœ—
Margin 25.6% 74.4% +5.9 βœ— (23.9 off)
Pythagorean 58.0% 42.0% - βœ“
Efficiency 72.2% 27.8% - βœ“
Adjusted Efficiency 67.5% 32.5% - βœ“
Log Adjusted 67.6% 32.4% - βœ“
Points Off/Def 57.5% 42.5% - βœ“

Actual: Golden State Warriors -18 (94-112). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Sacramento Kings

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Harrison Barnes * 37 9-12 2-4 1-2 2 1 0 0 21 - -
De'Aaron Fox * 31 8-15 1-3 4-9 2 5 1 1 21 - -
Bogdan Bogdanović * 31 6-10 2-5 3-4 1 3 2 0 17 - -
Nemanja Bjelica * 26 0-5 0-4 1-1 3 5 0 0 1 - -
Harry Giles III * 23 5-9 0-0 3-6 9 4 1 0 13 - -
Kent Bazemore 31 2-4 2-2 3-8 10 1 2 1 9 - -
Buddy Hield 25 6-15 5-10 2-2 6 2 1 0 19 - -
Cory Joseph 16 4-5 1-2 2-2 3 3 0 0 11 - -
Alex Len 15 0-1 0-0 0-0 4 1 0 2 0 - -

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Eric Paschall * 36 5-8 0-3 2-2 3 2 1 0 12 - -
Jordan Poole * 31 5-14 1-7 2-3 1 4 1 0 13 - -
Andrew Wiggins * 30 6-14 0-3 4-4 0 1 0 0 16 - -
Damion Lee * 30 4-9 3-7 3-4 6 4 1 1 14 - -
Marquese Chriss * 25 8-10 0-1 5-6 10 3 0 0 21 - -
Ky Bowman 25 4-10 0-2 2-2 4 2 1 0 10 - -
Dragan Bender 24 0-4 0-2 0-0 5 1 1 0 0 - -
Juan Toscano-Anderson 21 1-4 0-2 1-2 2 2 2 0 3 - -
Kevon Looney 14 2-6 0-1 1-1 3 2 0 1 5 - -

* = starter