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2020-02-08

Model Predictions

Model Los Angeles Lakers Golden State Warriors Spread Result
Elo 22.3% 77.7% - ✗
Bradley-Terry 45.3% 54.7% - ✗
Margin 38.4% 61.6% +2.6 ✗ (7.6 off)
Pythagorean 66.7% 33.3% - ✓
Efficiency 90.8% 9.2% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 84.7% 15.3% - ✓
Log Adjusted 84.7% 15.3% - ✓
Points Off/Def 74.0% 26.0% - ✓

Actual: Golden State Warriors -5 (120-125). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Los Angeles Lakers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Anthony Davis * 35 9-14 0-0 9-13 10 4 3 1 27 - -
LeBron James * 33 7-17 3-8 5-6 8 11 1 0 22 - -
Avery Bradley * 30 7-11 5-7 2-2 4 2 2 0 21 - -
Danny Green * 29 3-6 2-3 2-2 2 1 0 0 10 - -
JaVale McGee * 20 2-4 0-0 0-0 5 0 1 1 4 - -
Kyle Kuzma 29 4-8 0-0 4-4 2 6 3 0 12 - -
Rajon Rondo 21 4-8 3-5 0-0 4 4 0 0 11 - -
Troy Daniels 16 1-3 1-3 1-2 1 0 0 0 4 - -
Dwight Howard 12 5-7 0-0 2-5 8 0 0 0 12 - -
Alex Caruso 6 0-2 0-2 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 - -
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope 3 1-2 0-1 0-0 0 1 0 0 2 - -

Golden State Warriors

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
Andrew Wiggins * 30 8-12 3-4 5-9 2 3 5 1 24 - -
Ky Bowman * 29 1-6 0-2 5-6 2 11 0 1 7 - -
Eric Paschall * 27 3-11 0-2 0-0 4 2 1 1 6 - -
Marquese Chriss * 27 12-15 1-2 1-1 9 1 1 2 26 - -
Damion Lee * 22 3-8 2-6 0-0 3 2 3 0 8 - -
Jordan Poole 22 8-12 3-7 0-0 2 3 1 0 19 - -
Juan Toscano-Anderson 19 2-6 1-1 0-0 3 2 0 0 5 - -
Zach Norvell Jr. 17 2-4 2-3 1-1 4 2 2 0 7 - -
Jeremy Pargo 14 3-6 0-1 0-1 2 4 1 0 6 - -
Kevon Looney 14 1-4 0-2 0-1 1 0 0 0 2 - -
Alen Smailagic 14 3-5 1-2 3-4 1 1 1 1 10 - -

* = starter