🐻⬇️🏀

Evansville

Also known as: Evansville Purple Aces
Program History

2026 Team Stats (31 games)

66.6
PPG
76.4
Opp
-9.8
Margin
42.8%
FG%
32.3%
3P%
73.9%
FT%
31.2
RPG
13.0
APG
12.8
TO
74.9
Pace
68.6
AdjO
77.0
AdjD
#283
Rank

Model Outputs

2025-2026
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 791 (#332) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 790 (#330) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +109 elo More → 880 (#685) HCA +109 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.2 More → -8.8 (#290) HCA +2.2
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.5 More → +2.5 (#334) HCA +2.5
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.119 (#351) -
Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. NetEff -40.2 More → 0.006 (#359) NetEff -40.2
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet -12.1 More → 0.199 (#291) AdjNet -12.1
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet -12.1 More → 0.197 (#291) AdjNet -12.1
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 68.6 | AdjD 77.0 More → 0.317 (#283) AdjO 68.6 | AdjD 77.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 68.1 | AdjD 76.4 More → 0.319 (#684) AdjO 68.1 | AdjD 76.4
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.499 (#342) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.444 (#371) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 157 | GP 31 More → 875 (#562) RD 157 | GP 31

2026 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2025-11-04 @ Purdue Boilermakers L 51 - 82
2025-11-07 vs Calumet Crimson Wave W 92 - 50
2025-11-09 vs Oakland City Mighty Oaks W 76 - 47
2025-11-12 vs Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders L 72 - 77
2025-11-18 vs UT Arlington Mavericks L 76 - 84
2025-11-21 @ Oregon State Beavers W 73 - 69
2025-11-23 vs Akron Zips L 59 - 97
2025-11-24 vs Charleston Cougars L 59 - 78
2025-12-03 vs Ball State Cardinals W 64 - 52
2025-12-13 @ Notre Dame Fighting Irish L 58 - 82
2025-12-16 vs Belmont Bruins L 78 - 83
2025-12-21 vs Drake Bulldogs L 65 - 66
2025-12-29 @ Bradley Braves L 68 - 76
2026-01-01 @ Illinois State Redbirds L 47 - 73
2026-01-04 vs Northern Iowa Panthers L 48 - 62
2026-01-07 vs Murray State Racers L 69 - 79
2026-01-10 @ Indiana State Sycamores W 72 - 69
2026-01-13 vs Bradley Braves L 90 - 94
2026-01-20 @ UIC Flames L 49 - 76
2026-01-25 vs Southern Illinois Salukis - Preview
2026-01-28 @ Drake Bulldogs L 78 - 82
2026-01-31 @ Northern Iowa Panthers L 55 - 71
2026-02-03 vs Indiana State Sycamores L 63 - 84
2026-02-06 @ Valparaiso Beacons L 63 - 70
2026-02-09 vs Illinois State Redbirds W 88 - 80
2026-02-12 @ Southern Illinois Salukis L 60 - 86
2026-02-18 vs UIC Flames L 46 - 84
2026-02-21 @ Murray State Racers L 75 - 88
2026-02-25 @ Belmont Bruins L 64 - 98
2026-02-28 vs Valparaiso Beacons W 80 - 79
2026-03-01 vs Southern Illinois Salukis L 67 - 81
2026-03-05 @ Northern Iowa Panthers L 59 - 68

2026 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
A.J. Casey A.J. Casey - 31 29.7 13.7 5.9 1.9 1.2 0.6 2.0 9.9 11.3 -115 -5.2 -9.0 51.5 33.3 74.6 -0.61 59.1 54.7
C. Turnbull C. Turnbull - 15 19.0 11.0 6.0 1.1 0.5 1.9 1.8 9.5 9.3 -8 -0.5 -1.2 46.5 13.3 66.0 -0.12 50.7 47.2
Leif Moeller Leif Moeller - 31 32.4 10.5 3.7 4.0 0.9 0.3 2.7 8.9 7.8 -117 -5.3 -8.4 39.5 35.2 77.1 -0.88 52.0 47.3
J. Hughes J. Hughes - 31 28.1 9.5 4.6 0.8 0.5 0.4 1.1 7.0 7.7 -105 -4.4 -11.3 48.6 36.4 76.5 -0.47 61.1 58.5
Bryce Quinet Bryce Quinet - 31 27.4 8.9 2.1 2.5 1.1 0.1 1.9 7.6 5.1 -93 -4.2 -7.7 41.3 30.7 72.0 -0.39 50.9 46.2
K. Porter K. Porter G 15 21.3 6.7 2.9 1.0 0.5 0.2 1.4 6.5 3.4 -81 -5.1 -10.7 36.7 13.8 65.8 -0.87 44.0 38.8
A. Hemenway A. Hemenway - 31 25.6 6.5 1.9 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.6 6.3 2.7 -107 -4.9 -9.2 32.7 31.4 89.3 -0.98 48.2 44.9
T. Hundley T. Hundley - 31 18.0 5.3 1.7 0.6 0.4 0.3 0.5 4.2 3.7 -61 -2.8 -8.6 39.5 36.9 89.3 -0.28 58.4 54.3
James Dyson-Merwe James Dyson-Merwe - 20 13.7 2.4 3.5 0.9 0.2 0.2 1.6 1.6 4.0 -42 -2.3 -9.0 63.6 0.0 50.0 -0.16 62.7 63.6
M. Barnes Jr. M. Barnes Jr. F 3 4.7 2.0 0.7 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 2.7 -0.3 312 14.2 27.4 25.0 33.3 0 2.37 37.5 37.5
K. Berridge K. Berridge - 28 12.0 2.0 1.1 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.6 2.1 1.6 -37 -2.1 -9.1 31.0 26.7 57.1 -0.23 43.6 41.4
L. Amari IV L. Amari IV - 5 2.0 0.6 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.4 0.0 -10 -1.1 -3.6 50.0 50.0 0 -0.32 75.0 75.0
D. Candler D. Candler F 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
W. Aigner W. Aigner - 5 3.0 0.0 0.4 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.6 0.6 -0.4 -1 -0.3 -21.4 0.0 0.0 0 -0.02 0.0 0.0
Aaron Gutman Aaron Gutman G 0 - 0.0 0.0 0.0 - - - - - - - - - - - - - -

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG