Model Predictions
| Model | Illinois State Redbirds | Evansville Purple Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 83.5% | 16.5% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 82.2% | 17.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 91.6% | 8.4% | -13.1 | ✗ (21.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 82.3% | 17.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 96.9% | 3.1% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 93.5% | 6.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 93.6% | 6.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 75.4% | 24.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Evansville Purple Aces +8 (88-80). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Wolf | 33 | 4-9 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 12 | - |
| J. Kinziger | 33 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 1 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| B. Skunberg | 25 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 9 | - |
| L. Moore | 23 | 5-6 | 3-4 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16 | 13 | - |
| T. Coleman | 20 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 8 | - |
| Ty Pence | 19 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 8 | - |
| M. Klabo | 17 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| C. Walker | 16 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | - |
| B. Lieb | 6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | - |
| C. Barnes | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Daugherty | 4 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | - |
Evansville Purple Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Moeller | 40 | 6-12 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 21 | - |
| B. Quinet | 38 | 6-11 | 1-1 | 4-5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 8 | - |
| A.J. Casey | 33 | 10-15 | 3-5 | 5-7 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 28 | 25 | - |
| A. Hemenway | 27 | 2-5 | 2-4 | 3-3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 5 | - |
| J. Hughes | 26 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 9 | - |
| K. Berridge | 19 | 4-5 | 4-5 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 12 | - |
| T. Hundley | 17 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
* = starter