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2025-11-12

Model Predictions

Model Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders Evansville Purple Aces Spread Result
Elo 71.3% 28.7% -
Bradley-Terry 67.7% 32.3% -
Margin 78.0% 22.0% -6.9 (1.9 off)
Pythagorean 76.3% 23.7% -
Efficiency 96.8% 3.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 84.5% 15.5% -
Log Adjusted 84.7% 15.3% -
Points Off/Def 63.5% 36.5% -

Actual: Evansville Purple Aces -5 (72-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Lands * 38 6-14 3-8 8-10 4 3 2 0 2 23 16 +0.5
C. Loofe * 25 3-6 0-2 0-0 3 2 0 1 3 6 3 +5.4
S. Smith * 24 8-13 1-3 0-1 2 0 0 0 2 17 4 -5.9
T. Green * 22 1-3 1-3 0-0 3 0 1 0 0 3 4 +4.3
T. Alston * 21 3-6 0-1 0-2 6 1 0 0 0 6 7 -3.1
J. Carter 27 7-15 2-7 2-4 4 2 2 0 2 18 9 +3.4
A. Oglesby 16 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 0 2 +3.8
J. Hall 15 2-3 0-1 0-0 2 1 1 0 2 4 3 -4.2
J. Dent Jr. 12 0-0 0-0 0-0 6 2 0 0 0 0 8 +2.0

Evansville Purple Aces

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
A.J. Casey * 37 4-9 0-0 4-5 6 2 2 0 2 12 11 -4.4
L. Moeller * 34 1-6 1-4 1-2 2 5 0 0 4 4 1 -4.9
J. Hughes * 30 5-6 2-3 0-0 7 3 0 0 0 12 16 +5.2
C. Turnbull * 22 6-9 0-0 4-4 3 2 0 1 2 16 11 -1.1
A. Hemenway * 17 0-4 0-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 2 0 -6 -4.0
B. Quinet 30 4-9 0-1 6-9 4 1 3 0 1 14 12 -0.7
K. Porter 25 6-9 0-1 2-4 6 0 1 0 1 14 11 +8.7
T. Hundley 5 0-2 0-2 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 0 -1 -9.7

* = starter