Model Predictions
| Model | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | Evansville Purple Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 71.3% | 28.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 67.7% | 32.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 78.0% | 22.0% | -6.9 | ✓ (1.9 off) |
| Pythagorean | 76.3% | 23.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 96.8% | 3.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 84.5% | 15.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 84.7% | 15.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 63.5% | 36.5% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Evansville Purple Aces -5 (72-77). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Lands * | 38 | 6-14 | 3-8 | 8-10 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 16 | +0.5 |
| C. Loofe * | 25 | 3-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 3 | +5.4 |
| S. Smith * | 24 | 8-13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 4 | -5.9 |
| T. Green * | 22 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 4 | +4.3 |
| T. Alston * | 21 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | -3.1 |
| J. Carter | 27 | 7-15 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 9 | +3.4 |
| A. Oglesby | 16 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | +3.8 |
| J. Hall | 15 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 3 | -4.2 |
| J. Dent Jr. | 12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | +2.0 |
Evansville Purple Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.J. Casey * | 37 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 11 | -4.4 |
| L. Moeller * | 34 | 1-6 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | -4.9 |
| J. Hughes * | 30 | 5-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 16 | +5.2 |
| C. Turnbull * | 22 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 16 | 11 | -1.1 |
| A. Hemenway * | 17 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -6 | -4.0 |
| B. Quinet | 30 | 4-9 | 0-1 | 6-9 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 12 | -0.7 |
| K. Porter | 25 | 6-9 | 0-1 | 2-4 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 11 | +8.7 |
| T. Hundley | 5 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -9.7 |
* = starter