Model Predictions
| Model | Evansville Purple Aces | Illinois State Redbirds | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 9.0% | 91.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 10.9% | 89.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 3.9% | 96.1% | +17.6 | ✓ (8.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 11.7% | 88.3% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 15.9% | 84.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Illinois State Redbirds +26 (73-47). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Evansville Purple Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Quinet | 29 | 5-8 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 8 | -7.2 |
| A. Hemenway | 25 | 1-5 | 1-4 | 4-4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 3 | -16.9 |
| J. Dyson-Merwe | 22 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 4 | -9.6 |
| L. Moeller | 21 | 1-8 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | -12.3 |
| A.J. Casey | 21 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | 6 | -18.1 |
| J. Hughes | 20 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 1-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | -12.2 |
| T. Hundley | 18 | 1-4 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -3 | -12.5 |
| K. Porter | 18 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | -15.3 |
| C. Turnbull | 17 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 1 | -12.5 |
| K. Berridge | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -15.3 |
Illinois State Redbirds
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Coleman | 33 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 3-5 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 17 | +34.6 |
| J. Kinziger | 30 | 2-5 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | +24.8 |
| C. Walker | 28 | 9-16 | 0-1 | 4-7 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 12 | +18.1 |
| J. Daugherty | 24 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 2 | +24.4 |
| Ty Pence | 23 | 1-6 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | +1.2 |
| B. Skunberg | 19 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | -4.7 |
| L. Moore | 15 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -2 | -0.1 |
| L. Wolf | 15 | 4-4 | 2-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 12 | +17.2 |
| B. Lieb | 12 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 8 | +13.6 |
| Ty Blake | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +2.0 |
* = starter