Model Predictions
| Model | Akron Zips | Evansville Purple Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 89.2% | 10.8% | -17.8 | ✓ (20.2 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 90.9% | 9.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 94.4% | 5.6% | -15.5 | ✓ (22.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 84.5% | 15.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 96.4% | 3.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 94.2% | 5.8% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 94.2% | 5.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 79.3% | 20.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Evansville Purple Aces -38 (59-97). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Akron Zips
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tavari Johnson * | 29 | 6-15 | 2-8 | 5-5 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 10 | +22.4 |
| Evan Mahaffey * | 27 | 5-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 19 | +25.2 |
| Shammah Scott * | 26 | 2-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | +5.1 |
| Amani Lyles * | 22 | 6-10 | 1-3 | 4-7 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 16 | +21.1 |
| Eric Mahaffey * | 21 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | +20.2 |
| Bowen Hardman | 18 | 5-6 | 5-6 | 4-5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 13 | +20.6 |
| Marvin Musiime-Kamali | 16 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | +9.0 |
| Sharron Young | 16 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 6 | +10.3 |
| Ognjen Stankovic | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +3.9 |
| Zach Halligan | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | +5.1 |
| Halil Barre | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +5.7 |
| Conner Groce | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +4.0 |
Evansville Purple Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Keishon Porter * | 30 | 5-12 | 2-5 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 8 | -17.0 |
| Leif Moeller * | 28 | 2-5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | -16.3 |
| Joshua Hughes * | 27 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 1 | -14.7 |
| Alex Hemenway * | 19 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 3-3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1 | -13.6 |
| Connor Turnbull * | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | -4.5 |
| A.J. Casey | 29 | 4-6 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 17 | -23.0 |
| Bryce Quinet | 22 | 5-8 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 8 | -10.1 |
| James Dyson-Merwe | 18 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -2 | -18.0 |
| Trent Hundley | 9 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 2-3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | -13.1 |
| Kaia Berridge | 8 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 2-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -14.1 |
| Weston Aigner | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -5.1 |
| Leo Amari IV | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -4.1 |
| Marlon Barnes Jr. | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -5.1 |
* = starter