Model Predictions
| Model | Bradley Braves | Evansville Purple Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 78.1% | 21.9% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 81.7% | 18.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 85.4% | 14.6% | -9.7 | ✓ (5.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 80.5% | 19.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 96.9% | 3.1% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 90.1% | 9.9% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 90.2% | 9.8% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 69.8% | 30.2% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Evansville Purple Aces -4 (90-94). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Bradley Braves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Huibregtse | 35 | 1-5 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1 | +16.9 |
| J. Johnson | 35 | 12-22 | 2-6 | 9-10 | 5 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 35 | 31 | +0.7 |
| A. Jonovic | 34 | 6-8 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 15 | 22 | +7.7 |
| D. Burch | 30 | 5-10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 3 | +0.5 |
| M. Wheeler | 28 | 6-9 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17 | 14 | +0.3 |
| T. van der Knaap | 27 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | -9.2 |
| AJ Smith | 19 | 1-4 | 0-3 | 2-4 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | +7.1 |
| C. Thomas | 17 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | +1.2 |
Evansville Purple Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A.J. Casey | 41 | 4-10 | 1-3 | 4-8 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 13 | 11 | -8.0 |
| B. Quinet | 38 | 6-9 | 2-2 | 6-8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 15 | -7.1 |
| L. Moeller | 37 | 8-17 | 3-8 | 7-9 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 18 | -11.6 |
| A. Hemenway | 32 | 3-6 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 11 | -4.2 |
| J. Hughes | 29 | 4-6 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 8 | +1.3 |
| J. Dyson-Merwe | 20 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | -4.9 |
| K. Berridge | 15 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | +6.1 |
| T. Hundley | 13 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 7 | -0.9 |
* = starter