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Southern Illinois Salukis 81
@
Evansville Purple Aces 67
2026-03-01

Model Predictions

Model Southern Illinois Salukis Evansville Purple Aces Spread Result
Elo 75.7% 24.3% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 67.2% 32.8% - ✓
Margin 85.4% 14.6% -9.7 ✓ (4.3 off)
Pythagorean 80.1% 19.9% - ✓
Efficiency 96.0% 4.0% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 89.9% 10.1% - ✓
Log Adjusted 90.0% 10.0% - ✓
Points Off/Def 68.8% 31.2% - ✓

Actual: Evansville Purple Aces -14 (67-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Southern Illinois Salukis

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
D. Steffe 39 6-8 4-5 0-0 3 3 1 0 0 16 15 +9.0
D. Mayo Jr. 32 6-15 4-10 7-8 3 0 1 0 0 23 12 +13.6
P. Aligbe 29 6-8 0-0 2-2 12 1 1 0 1 14 19 +8.3
Q. House 27 4-12 0-1 2-2 3 6 1 0 2 10 6 +11.0
R. Aligbe 26 2-6 0-2 0-0 6 1 1 0 0 4 6 +6.6
J. Haynes 21 4-11 1-4 0-0 4 4 0 0 1 9 5 -3.4
D. Sykes 13 2-3 0-0 1-1 2 1 0 0 0 5 5 -4.3
J. Webber 5 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -2.7
M. Pikaar 4 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 1 0 0 1 +7.4
C. Hawkins 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +3.8
J. Moreno 2 0-1 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -3.2

Evansville Purple Aces

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Moeller 40 4-11 2-6 0-0 6 4 0 0 3 10 6 -10.2
J. Hughes 39 5-10 2-6 4-4 6 1 2 0 0 16 15 -9.8
A.J. Casey 37 5-12 1-3 5-8 8 2 0 2 2 16 14 -10.2
B. Quinet 35 4-9 0-2 1-1 0 7 0 0 2 9 5 +3.0
T. Hundley 22 5-8 3-6 3-3 0 2 0 1 1 16 10 -8.2
A. Hemenway 20 0-2 0-2 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 0 -8.2
K. Berridge 7 0-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -2 -5.2

* = starter