Model Predictions
| Model | Drake Bulldogs | Evansville Purple Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 67.7% | 32.3% | -7.3 | ✓ (6.3 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 61.1% | 38.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 73.0% | 27.0% | -5.5 | ✓ (4.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 74.5% | 25.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 80.8% | 19.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 81.1% | 18.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.4% | 39.6% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Evansville Purple Aces -1 (65-66). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Drake Bulldogs
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Larson * | 32 | 2-7 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 3 | -9.8 |
| Jaehshon Thomas * | 30 | 7-12 | 4-6 | 0-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 11 | -4.7 |
| W. Exacte * | 29 | 5-15 | 1-6 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 0 | +0.2 |
| Andrew Alia * | 25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | -2.8 |
| Okku Federiko * | 17 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | -9.4 |
| Griffen Goodbary | 20 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 9 | -4.0 |
| Eli Shetlar | 18 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 | +2.1 |
| Jalen Quinn | 16 | 3-7 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | -1 | -16.3 |
| Braden Appelhans | 10 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | -4.8 |
| Isaiah Carr | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.5 |
Evansville Purple Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leif Moeller * | 29 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 6 | -1.4 |
| Connor Turnbull * | 28 | 8-18 | 0-3 | 4-6 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 20 | 21 | -1.2 |
| Joshua Hughes * | 22 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | +2.1 |
| Bryce Quinet * | 21 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -6.3 |
| Alex Hemenway * | 19 | 3-6 | 3-6 | 2-4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 6 | -1.0 |
| A.J. Casey | 28 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 4-5 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 14 | +11.2 |
| Keishon Porter | 23 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | +19.2 |
| Trent Hundley | 20 | 2-7 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 1 | +8.9 |
| Kaia Berridge | 8 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | +2.2 |
| James Dyson-Merwe | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | +1.2 |
* = starter