Model Predictions
| Model | Indiana State Sycamores | Evansville Purple Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 45.0% | 55.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 58.8% | 41.2% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 68.7% | 31.3% | -4.3 | ✓ (16.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 72.6% | 27.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 96.0% | 4.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 78.7% | 21.3% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 78.9% | 21.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 57.1% | 42.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Evansville Purple Aces -21 (63-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Indiana State Sycamores
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Harding | 31 | 7-11 | 3-5 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 18 | 13 | - |
| S. Young | 29 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | -1 | - |
| B. Alocen | 25 | 2-6 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 10 | - |
| E. St. Bernard | 23 | 8-10 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 18 | - |
| C. Wagner | 21 | 3-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 13 | - |
| I. Scott | 20 | 2-6 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 11 | - |
| X. Hall | 20 | 3-5 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 9 | - |
| J. Van Buggenhout | 18 | 2-5 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 13 | - |
| S. Nordheim | 5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| H. Harding | 5 | 1-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| C. Huttenlocker | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| C. Bean | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Evansville Purple Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Moeller | 37 | 8-14 | 2-4 | 4-5 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 22 | 14 | - |
| A.J. Casey | 29 | 5-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 4 | - |
| A. Hemenway | 25 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| J. Hughes | 25 | 1-7 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| B. Quinet | 25 | 4-9 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 5 | - |
| T. Hundley | 21 | 1-3 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | - |
| C. Turnbull | 15 | 1-5 | 0-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | - |
| K. Berridge | 14 | 2-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | - |
| J. Dyson-Merwe | 9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8 | - |
* = starter