Model Predictions
| Model | Evansville Purple Aces | Indiana State Sycamores | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 38.0% | 62.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.2% | 71.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 16.8% | 83.2% | +8.8 | ✗ (11.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 21.4% | 78.6% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 15.3% | 84.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 15.1% | 84.9% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 30.4% | 69.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Indiana State Sycamores -3 (69-72). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Evansville Purple Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Hughes | 35 | 6-13 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 11 | +5.7 |
| L. Moeller | 34 | 7-11 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17 | 23 | +9.5 |
| A. Hemenway | 29 | 4-9 | 3-7 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12 | 12 | -2.6 |
| A.J. Casey | 25 | 7-12 | 1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 7 | -0.5 |
| B. Quinet | 22 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -3 | -7.3 |
| T. Hundley | 22 | 2-5 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | +5.4 |
| J. Dyson-Merwe | 20 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5 | +2.3 |
| K. Berridge | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 0 | -1 | +6.0 |
Indiana State Sycamores
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| I. Scott | 38 | 11-16 | 1-3 | 1-1 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 24 | 22 | -4.7 |
| D. Vorst | 33 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 6-8 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 16 | +2.6 |
| C. Wagner | 31 | 6-13 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 9 | -8.7 |
| X. Hall | 30 | 1-7 | 0-5 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | -1 | -2.2 |
| J. Van Buggenhout | 22 | 2-9 | 0-4 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | -2 | -6.0 |
| B. Alocen | 19 | 1-4 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | +4.2 |
| S. Young | 19 | 3-8 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | -1.3 |
| E. St. Bernard | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | - |
| S. Nordheim | 3 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3 | -7.1 |
* = starter