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2026-02-06

Model Predictions

Model Evansville Purple Aces Valparaiso Beacons Spread Result
Elo 11.7% 88.3% -
Bradley-Terry 19.6% 80.4% -
Margin 11.8% 88.2% +11.1 (4.1 off)
Pythagorean 17.2% 82.8% -
Efficiency 1.0% 99.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 8.9% 91.1% -
Log Adjusted 8.8% 91.2% -
Points Off/Def 25.7% 74.3% -

Actual: Valparaiso Beacons +7 (70-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Evansville Purple Aces

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Moeller 43 8-13 5-6 5-6 5 0 1 0 5 26 14 -
A.J. Casey 42 7-18 1-4 1-2 7 5 4 0 4 16 10 -
J. Hughes 37 4-7 2-4 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 10 7 -
A. Hemenway 37 2-11 2-10 0-0 3 3 0 0 0 6 1 -
B. Quinet 34 0-5 0-0 1-3 1 5 1 1 2 1 2 -
T. Hundley 13 1-4 0-1 0-0 0 0 1 0 0 2 -1 -
J. Dyson-Merwe 11 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 2 -
K. Berridge 8 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Valparaiso Beacons

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. McNair 38 5-12 2-6 4-4 3 3 1 0 2 16 9 -
J. Pettigrew 35 3-9 1-4 1-2 8 2 3 0 1 8 11 -
O. Dease 35 7-16 2-6 2-2 5 0 0 0 2 18 5 -
R. Chaney 27 2-10 1-4 2-2 3 1 0 0 0 7 1 -
S. Tupuola 26 3-4 0-0 0-0 10 1 0 3 2 6 14 -
C. Hopoi 24 4-4 0-0 2-2 7 1 1 2 1 10 16 -
S. Servilus 19 1-4 0-2 1-2 4 1 3 0 1 3 6 -
M. Brown Jr. 17 1-4 0-1 0-1 1 1 0 0 1 2 -1 -
T. Tornatta 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
K. Thomas 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter