Model Predictions
| Model | Evansville Purple Aces | Valparaiso Beacons | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 11.7% | 88.3% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 19.6% | 80.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 11.8% | 88.2% | +11.1 | ✓ (4.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 17.2% | 82.8% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 8.9% | 91.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 8.8% | 91.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 25.7% | 74.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Valparaiso Beacons +7 (70-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Evansville Purple Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Moeller | 43 | 8-13 | 5-6 | 5-6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 26 | 14 | - |
| A.J. Casey | 42 | 7-18 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 10 | - |
| J. Hughes | 37 | 4-7 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 7 | - |
| A. Hemenway | 37 | 2-11 | 2-10 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | - |
| B. Quinet | 34 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 2 | - |
| T. Hundley | 13 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| J. Dyson-Merwe | 11 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| K. Berridge | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Valparaiso Beacons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. McNair | 38 | 5-12 | 2-6 | 4-4 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 9 | - |
| J. Pettigrew | 35 | 3-9 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 11 | - |
| O. Dease | 35 | 7-16 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 5 | - |
| R. Chaney | 27 | 2-10 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 1 | - |
| S. Tupuola | 26 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 14 | - |
| C. Hopoi | 24 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 16 | - |
| S. Servilus | 19 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| M. Brown Jr. | 17 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| T. Tornatta | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| K. Thomas | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter