Model Predictions
| Model | Evansville Purple Aces | Bradley Braves | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 12.3% | 87.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 11.2% | 88.8% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 7.0% | 93.0% | +14.2 | ✓ (6.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 13.5% | 86.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 3.9% | 96.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 3.8% | 96.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 20.1% | 79.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Bradley Braves +8 (76-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Evansville Purple Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Hughes | 33 | 5-10 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 11 | -6.1 |
| B. Quinet | 33 | 4-10 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 11 | 8 | +1.1 |
| A. Hemenway | 24 | 3-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 6 | +3.0 |
| A.J. Casey | 23 | 8-11 | 0-1 | 5-7 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 15 | -6.0 |
| L. Moeller | 21 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 2 | -0.3 |
| K. Porter | 19 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | -1 | -3.8 |
| T. Hundley | 16 | 0-3 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -6.7 |
| C. Turnbull | 15 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | -1.9 |
| J. Dyson-Merwe | 8 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +6.9 |
| K. Berridge | 8 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -4.4 |
Bradley Braves
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Johnson | 32 | 6-12 | 1-3 | 9-9 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 19 | +2.8 |
| D. Burch | 32 | 5-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 3 | -5.0 |
| A. Huibregtse | 30 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 14 | +11.4 |
| A. Jonovic | 26 | 2-7 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 7 | +2.2 |
| M. Wheeler | 23 | 6-10 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 4 | +4.7 |
| T. van der Knaap | 21 | 2-10 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 7 | +3.8 |
| C. Thomas | 19 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 15 | -4.0 |
| AJ Smith | 12 | 0-5 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | -7.3 |
| K. Yu | 5 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +6.6 |
* = starter