Model Predictions
| Model | Valparaiso Beacons | Evansville Purple Aces | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 77.2% | 22.8% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 75.2% | 24.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 73.7% | 26.3% | -5.7 | ✗ (6.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 82.8% | 17.2% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 58.7% | 41.3% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Evansville Purple Aces +1 (80-79). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Valparaiso Beacons
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| R. Chaney | 35 | 4-11 | 3-9 | 3-4 | 3 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 14 | 14 | +2.7 |
| O. Dease | 31 | 7-12 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 3 | -2.2 |
| S. Tupuola | 26 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -8.2 |
| B. Whitaker | 25 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 5-5 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | -4.7 |
| J. Pettigrew | 24 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 14 | -0.7 |
| S. Servilus | 20 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | +6.8 |
| J. McNair | 18 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 9 | 8 | +2.2 |
| I. Barnes | 10 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | +2.9 |
| C. Hopoi | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | +1.5 |
| K. Thomas | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| T. Tornatta | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.2 |
Evansville Purple Aces
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Moeller | 40 | 2-8 | 1-2 | 5-5 | 4 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 18 | +1.1 |
| J. Hughes | 36 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 2-2 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 10 | 13 | +2.3 |
| B. Quinet | 36 | 6-13 | 2-3 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 11 | +1.5 |
| A.J. Casey | 35 | 12-16 | 3-3 | 10-11 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 37 | 32 | -5.7 |
| A. Hemenway | 22 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | -3 | +5.9 |
| T. Hundley | 19 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -2 | -5.0 |
| K. Berridge | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | -1.9 |
* = starter