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2025-11-21

Model Predictions

Model Evansville Purple Aces Oregon State Beavers Spread Result
Elo 13.4% 86.6% -
Bradley-Terry 18.0% 82.0% -
Margin 12.3% 87.7% +10.8 (14.8 off)
Pythagorean 20.8% 79.2% -
Efficiency 72.4% 27.6% -
Adjusted Efficiency 9.6% 90.4% -
Log Adjusted 9.5% 90.5% -
Points Off/Def 25.1% 74.9% -

Actual: Oregon State Beavers -4 (69-73). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Evansville Purple Aces

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Hughes * 35 4-10 2-4 6-9 12 2 0 0 1 16 19 +1.5
L. Moeller * 33 4-8 2-3 4-6 1 1 0 0 1 14 7 +4.2
K. Porter * 20 1-1 0-0 5-6 4 1 1 0 3 7 9 -4.6
C. Turnbull * 18 4-8 0-1 2-2 2 0 1 2 2 10 5 +2.5
A. Hemenway * 18 1-6 0-4 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 2 -1 -6.9
A.J. Casey 26 1-4 0-1 4-4 6 0 1 0 1 6 8 +9.6
B. Quinet 23 4-9 0-3 7-8 4 3 2 0 4 15 11 +11.6
T. Hundley 18 1-2 1-1 0-0 0 1 1 0 0 3 3 +16.2
K. Berridge 9 0-2 0-1 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -0.5

Oregon State Beavers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Lake * 38 6-9 0-2 4-6 4 3 1 0 4 16 11 -7.4
I. Sy * 32 2-9 1-5 4-4 4 5 2 1 1 9 11 +7.3
D. White * 32 2-10 1-6 4-4 4 0 2 0 0 9 5 -5.9
J. Munch * 27 2-6 0-1 2-2 4 1 2 0 1 6 6 -2.1
N. Amenhauser * 21 6-9 0-0 5-7 5 0 0 0 2 17 11 -
M. Christie 16 3-6 3-5 0-0 2 1 0 0 0 9 6 -7.4
O. Suutela 16 0-1 0-1 0-0 2 0 2 0 2 0 1 -14.5
M. Samar 10 1-4 1-2 0-0 4 1 0 0 1 3 3 -4.6
J. Diaz Graham 5 0-3 0-3 0-0 0 1 0 0 1 0 -3 -9.5
S. Olowoniyi 3 0-2 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -0.1

* = starter