Duke Blue Devils
2026 Team Stats (36 games)
74.1
PPG
59.7
Opp
+14.4
Margin
43.8%
FG%
32.6%
3P%
69.2%
FT%
40.5
RPG
17.3
APG
14.8
TO
72.0
Est. poss./game
79.7
Adj PPG
47.8
Adj Opp PPG
#7
Scoring Rank
Model Outputs
2025-2026
Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.
| Model | Output | Notes |
|---|---|---|
| Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → | 1597 (#6) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → | 1382 (#12) | - |
| Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | 1218 (#6) | HCA +106 elo |
| Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. More → | +34.1 (#7) | HCA +2.4 |
| Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. More → | +34.3 (#6) | HCA +2.6 |
| Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → | 0.923 (#20) | - |
| Efficiency Efficiency Tempo-adjusted efficiency version of Pythagorean ratings. More → | 0.923 (#20) | NetEff +19.2 |
| Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. More → | 0.997 (#7) | AdjNet +49.1 |
| Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. More → | 0.997 (#7) | AdjNet +50.7 |
| Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. More → | 0.948 (#7) | AdjO 79.7 | AdjD 47.8 |
| Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. More → | 0.895 (#6) | AdjO 75.3 | AdjD 51.8 |
| Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. More → | 0.969 (#7) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. More → | 0.964 (#6) | Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD |
| Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. More → | 1405 (#7) | RD 96 | GP 36 |
2026 Schedule & Results
2026 Roster
Minutes by Position
The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.
| Player | Pos | GP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | FGA | Numbers | PM | PM GP | PM/G | PM/40 | FG% | 3P% | FT% | RAPM | TS% | eFG% |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Toby Fournier
|
F | 36 | 29.1 | 17.3 | 7.9 | 1.2 | 0.9 | 2.2 | 2.2 | 12.8 | 14.5 | 439 | 33 | 13.3 | 18.8 | 52.5 | 33.3 | 58.1 | 5.91 | 56.4 | 54.4 |
Taina Mair
|
G | 36 | 33.9 | 11.6 | 5.9 | 5.6 | 2.5 | 0.1 | 2.7 | 10.4 | 12.6 | 403 | 33 | 12.2 | 14.8 | 41.1 | 34.1 | 87.0 | 3.14 | 51.1 | 46.8 |
Ashlon Jackson
|
G | 36 | 33.9 | 11.2 | 3.3 | 4.6 | 1.4 | 0.4 | 2.2 | 10.8 | 8.0 | 435 | 33 | 13.2 | 15.8 | 34.3 | 30.7 | 81.2 | 4.85 | 47.7 | 43.7 |
Delaney Thomas
|
F | 36 | 26.8 | 11.0 | 6.2 | 0.9 | 1.8 | 0.5 | 1.4 | 7.2 | 11.8 | 409 | 33 | 12.4 | 18.6 | 60.5 | 0.0 | 75.0 | 6.18 | 64.4 | 60.5 |
Riley Nelson
|
G | 36 | 28.5 | 9.4 | 3.3 | 2.5 | 0.8 | 0.5 | 2.0 | 8.8 | 5.7 | 344 | 33 | 10.4 | 14.8 | 40.0 | 33.9 | 73.3 | 2.63 | 49.5 | 46.7 |
Arianna Roberson
|
C | 33 | 17.9 | 8.0 | 5.7 | 0.8 | 0.9 | 1.3 | 1.9 | 7.7 | 7.0 | 115 | 31 | 3.7 | 8.5 | 41.6 | 30.8 | 59.7 | -1.45 | 46.9 | 44.7 |
Jordan Wood
|
F | 35 | 19.7 | 4.8 | 3.1 | 1.0 | 0.4 | 1.2 | 1.1 | 4.5 | 4.8 | 255 | 32 | 8.0 | 16.3 | 37.3 | 37.2 | 75.0 | 2.49 | 49.3 | 46.5 |
Emilee Skinner
|
G | 3 | 16.0 | 4.3 | 4.7 | 1.7 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 4.3 | 6.7 | 1.0 | - | - | - | - | 25.0 | 0.0 | 50.0 | 0.73 | 28.7 | 25.0 |
Jadyn Donovan
|
G | 11 | 21.3 | 1.6 | 3.8 | 1.6 | 1.3 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 2.3 | 5.5 | 54 | 9 | 6.0 | 12.4 | 32.0 | 0 | 33.3 | 0.3 | 32.6 | 32.0 |
Anna Wikstrom
|
G | 18 | 9.6 | 1.3 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.2 | 0.1 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 74 | 17 | 4.4 | 17.4 | 42.9 | 27.3 | 40.0 | -2.45 | 49.6 | 50.0 |
Hailey Johnson
|
G | 3 | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0 | -1.71 | 0.0 | 0.0 |
Emma Koabel
|
G | 0 | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
Olivia Martin
|
G | 2 | 1.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.5 | 0.0 | -0.5 | - | - | - | - | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.38 | 0 | 0 |
Numbers/Game vs RAPM
X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.
Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG
Alumni in the Pros
Former Duke Blue Devils players in WNBA 2026, matched by provider player ids (ESPN athlete ids, ESPN bios, linked StatsNBA/EuroLeague ids). Only games after their last Duke Blue Devils game count. These are observed results, not certified complete seasons. League and team are where each player last played a regular-season or playoff game (NBA ahead of G League when he played in both); recent games include the preseason.
2 player-league average(s) withheld while source season, phase, finality or game identity remains unresolved.
Active alumni
| Player | At School | League | Team | GP | MPG | PPG | RPG | APG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Gray | 2013-14 | WNBA | Las Vegas Aces | 44 | 32.8 | 11.9 | 3.3 | 6.7 |
| E. Williams | 2013-15 | WNBA | Chicago Sky | 44 | 17.2 | 5.2 | 3.6 | 1.4 |
| Ashlon Jackson | 2022-26 | WNBA | Connecticut Sun | 19 | 13.6 | 3.4 | 1.3 | 0.8 |
| Taina Mair | 2023-26 | WNBA | Seattle Storm | 10 | 5.2 | 1.3 | 0.4 | 0.5 |
| Azurá Stevens | 2014-16 | WNBA | Chicago Sky | - | - | - | - | - |
| L. Brown | 2016-18 | WNBA | Seattle Storm | - | - | - | - | - |
Alumni around the leagues: recent games
| Date | Player | League | Team | Opponent | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | Box |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-09 | C. Gray | WNBA Playoffs | Las Vegas Aces | vs Golden State Valkyries | 43 | 17 | 5 | 5 | Box |
| 2026-10-07 | C. Gray | WNBA Playoffs | Las Vegas Aces | @ Golden State Valkyries | 39 | 19 | 3 | 6 | Box |
| 2026-10-04 | C. Gray | WNBA Playoffs | Las Vegas Aces | @ Golden State Valkyries | 36 | 16 | 4 | 3 | Box |
| 2026-09-24 | E. Williams | WNBA | Chicago Sky | @ Washington Mystics | 28 | 9 | 2 | 2 | Box |
| 2026-09-24 | Ashlon Jackson | WNBA | Connecticut Sun | vs Toronto Tempo | 26 | 18 | 1 | 2 | Box |
| 2026-09-22 | E. Williams | WNBA | Chicago Sky | vs Toronto Tempo | 30 | 6 | 11 | 3 | Box |
| 2026-09-22 | Ashlon Jackson | WNBA | Connecticut Sun | @ Washington Mystics | 15 | 0 | 2 | 2 | Box |
| 2026-09-20 | Ashlon Jackson | WNBA | Connecticut Sun | vs Minnesota Lynx | 17 | 6 | 2 | 1 | Box |
| 2026-09-19 | Taina Mair | WNBA | Seattle Storm | @ Golden State Valkyries | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Box |
| 2026-09-19 | E. Williams | WNBA | Chicago Sky | @ Atlanta Dream | 23 | 7 | 4 | 1 | Box |
| 2026-09-17 | Azurá Stevens | WNBA | Chicago Sky | vs Washington Mystics | 21 | 6 | 3 | 0 | Box |
| 2026-08-30 | Taina Mair | WNBA | Seattle Storm | vs Los Angeles Sparks | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | Box |
| 2026-08-29 | Azurá Stevens | WNBA | Chicago Sky | @ New York Liberty | 20 | 6 | 1 | 1 | Box |
| 2026-08-26 | Taina Mair | WNBA | Seattle Storm | vs Toronto Tempo | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | Box |
| 2026-08-25 | Azurá Stevens | WNBA | Chicago Sky | @ Connecticut Sun | 25 | 18 | 5 | 0 | Box |
| 2026-06-01 | L. Brown | WNBA | Seattle Storm | @ Dallas Wings | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | Box |
| 2026-05-30 | L. Brown | WNBA | Seattle Storm | @ Toronto Tempo | 14 | 0 | 0 | 1 | Box |
| 2026-05-27 | L. Brown | WNBA | Seattle Storm | vs Washington Mystics | 11 | 3 | 0 | 1 | Box |
| 2026-05-01 | E. Balogun | WNBA Preseason | Toronto Tempo | @ Minnesota Lynx | 15 | 12 | 1 | 0 | Box |
| 2026-04-29 | E. Balogun | WNBA Preseason | Toronto Tempo | vs Connecticut Sun | 15 | 6 | 4 | 0 | Box |
| 2026-04-27 | R. Richardson | WNBA Preseason | Minnesota Lynx | vs Nigeria | 12 | 5 | 1 | 0 | Box |
| 2026-04-25 | R. Richardson | WNBA Preseason | Minnesota Lynx | @ Washington Mystics | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | Box |
2025-2026 Shot Zones
2260 located field-goal attempts in 36 games (ESPN). Each zone is coloured by the player with the largest share of the team's made-shot points there (left) and of its misses there (right).
Toby FournierTaina MairAshlon JacksonRiley NelsonJordan Wood
| Zone | FGM-FGA | FG% | Pts | Top scorer | Runner-up | Most misses | Runner-up |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Restricted area | 415-639 | 64.9 | 830 | Toby Fournier 38% (312 pts) | Delaney Thomas 22% (180 pts) | Toby Fournier 37% (82 misses) | Arianna Roberson 14% (31 misses) |
| Paint (non-RA) | 203-500 | 40.6 | 406 | Toby Fournier 28% (114 pts) | Delaney Thomas 22% (90 pts) | Toby Fournier 27% (81 misses) | Taina Mair 17% (50 misses) |
| Mid-range left | 59-142 | 41.5 | 118 | Taina Mair 42% (50 pts) | Ashlon Jackson 22% (26 pts) | Ashlon Jackson 23% (19 misses) | Riley Nelson 18% (15 misses) |
| Mid-range center | 40-124 | 32.3 | 80 | Riley Nelson 25% (20 pts) | Arianna Roberson 15% (12 pts) | Taina Mair 20% (17 misses) | Ashlon Jackson 19% (16 misses) |
| Mid-range right | 52-170 | 30.6 | 104 | Riley Nelson 25% (26 pts) | Taina Mair 19% (20 pts) | Riley Nelson 26% (31 misses) | Taina Mair 24% (28 misses) |
| Left corner 3 | 28-74 | 37.8 | 84 | Riley Nelson 46% (39 pts) | Ashlon Jackson 18% (15 pts) | Riley Nelson 39% (18 misses) | Taina Mair 26% (12 misses) |
| Right corner 3 | 26-62 | 41.9 | 78 | Jordan Wood 35% (27 pts) | Riley Nelson 35% (27 pts) | Riley Nelson 31% (11 misses) | Ashlon Jackson 25% (9 misses) |
| Above-break 3 left | 65-239 | 27.2 | 195 | Ashlon Jackson 38% (75 pts) | Taina Mair 17% (33 pts) | Ashlon Jackson 39% (67 misses) | Taina Mair 18% (31 misses) |
| Above-break 3 center | 28-103 | 27.2 | 84 | Ashlon Jackson 32% (27 pts) | Taina Mair 29% (24 pts) | Ashlon Jackson 33% (25 misses) | Toby Fournier 24% (18 misses) |
| Above-break 3 right | 76-207 | 36.7 | 228 | Ashlon Jackson 41% (93 pts) | Taina Mair 20% (45 pts) | Ashlon Jackson 42% (55 misses) | Taina Mair 18% (24 misses) |