Model Predictions
| Model | LSU Tigers | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 39.9% | 60.1% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 39.0% | 61.0% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 89.2% | 10.8% | -11.6 | ✓ (4.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 49.3% | 50.7% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 94.8% | 5.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 84.4% | 15.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 84.7% | 15.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 72.7% | 27.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils -16 (77-93). Predictions use season-end ratings.
LSU Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Williams | 35 | 6-12 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 12 | -1.3 |
| F. Johnson | 33 | 7-11 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 18 | 12 | -1.1 |
| M. Fulwiley | 28 | 6-13 | 0-2 | 4-4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 16 | 7 | +0.7 |
| G. Knox | 26 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 12 | +6.7 |
| K. Koval | 26 | 6-11 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 11 | +2.8 |
| A. Joyner | 23 | 7-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 14 | 9 | -8.6 |
| J. Richard | 21 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -0.7 |
| B. Hines | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +0.4 |
| Z. Johnson | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -2 | -3.7 |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Jackson | 38 | 5-14 | 4-10 | 2-2 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 6 | +8.2 |
| T. Mair | 38 | 5-11 | 2-7 | 2-4 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 14 | 13 | -1.1 |
| R. Nelson | 31 | 5-8 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 4 | -0.2 |
| D. Thomas | 27 | 5-6 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12 | 9 | +2.8 |
| T. Fournier | 22 | 6-10 | 0-0 | 2-6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 7 | +2.0 |
| A. Roberson | 20 | 3-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 7 | +9.6 |
| J. Donovan | 13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | +4.0 |
| J. Wood | 11 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +5.2 |
* = starter