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2026-02-22

Model Predictions

Model Duke Blue Devils Clemson Tigers Spread Result
Elo 73.8% 26.2% -
Bradley-Terry 78.2% 21.8% -
Margin 90.6% 9.4% -12.4 (14.4 off)
Pythagorean 49.6% 50.4% -
Efficiency 53.8% 46.2% -
Adjusted Efficiency 93.1% 6.9% -
Log Adjusted 93.6% 6.4% -
Points Off/Def 73.8% 26.2% -

Actual: Clemson Tigers +2 (53-51). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Mair 37 4-9 1-3 0-1 6 4 1 0 2 9 9 -
A. Jackson 35 1-4 1-2 0-0 2 4 2 0 4 3 3 -
T. Fournier 33 8-13 0-1 2-2 7 2 1 3 2 18 16 -
R. Nelson 33 4-9 1-3 1-2 3 2 1 0 4 10 3 -
D. Thomas 30 3-7 0-0 1-2 4 0 0 1 4 7 1 -
J. Wood 18 1-1 1-1 0-0 1 0 0 2 1 3 4 -
A. Roberson 14 0-5 0-1 1-2 6 0 0 1 0 1 3 -

Clemson Tigers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Moore 35 5-15 0-2 1-1 3 6 3 0 3 11 5 -
T. Johnson-Matthews 33 3-14 2-7 3-3 7 2 0 0 0 11 6 -
H. Kohn 25 1-5 1-5 0-0 3 0 0 0 0 3 1 -
R. Augustinaite 21 2-5 2-3 0-0 0 0 1 0 2 6 0 -
D. Hinds 21 4-5 0-0 5-6 8 0 1 0 5 13 12 -
R. Rose 19 0-0 0-0 2-2 2 2 0 0 1 2 5 -
R. Thompson 17 1-4 0-1 0-0 2 0 1 0 0 2 1 -
M. Lee 16 2-5 1-3 0-0 3 1 0 2 1 5 5 -
H. Harris 10 0-3 0-0 0-0 2 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
H. Periman 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter