Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | Pittsburgh Panthers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 97.9% | 2.1% | -39.9 | ✓ (14.1 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 94.9% | 5.1% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 97.2% | 2.8% | -39.0 | ✓ (15.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 99.1% | 0.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 99.9% | 0.1% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 99.9% | 0.1% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 96.6% | 3.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Pittsburgh Panthers -54 (41-95). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Toby Fournier * | 26 | 8-14 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 14 | - |
| Delaney Thomas * | 25 | 6-9 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 16 | 13 | - |
| Riley Nelson * | 25 | 7-11 | 2-4 | 2-3 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 21 | - |
| Ashlon Jackson * | 24 | 2-8 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 7 | - |
| Taina Mair * | 24 | 5-7 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 17 | - |
| Arianna Roberson | 30 | 9-15 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 19 | 18 | - |
| Jordan Wood | 27 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 8 | +15.8 |
| Anna Wikstrom | 19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
Pittsburgh Panthers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mikayla Johnson * | 38 | 5-14 | 0-4 | 5-6 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 4 | - |
| Fatima Diakhate * | 30 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 2 | - |
| Jayda Queeley * | 26 | 2-5 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -2 | - |
| Lauren Rust * | 24 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | - |
| Carla Viegas * | 13 | 0-7 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -8 | - |
| Theresa Hagans Jr. | 31 | 3-15 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 8 | -7 | - |
| Megan Hollingsworth | 20 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Angela Le Faou | 10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Audrey Biggs | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Macie Arzner | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter