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Duke Blue Devils 59
@
UCLA Bruins 89
2025-11-27

Model Predictions

Model Duke Blue Devils UCLA Bruins Spread Result
Elo 18.6% 81.4% - ✓
Bradley-Terry 25.9% 74.1% - ✓
Margin 4.2% 95.8% +17.1 ✓ (12.9 off)
Pythagorean 44.7% 55.3% - ✓
Efficiency 1.7% 98.3% - ✓
Adjusted Efficiency 1.6% 98.4% - ✓
Log Adjusted 1.1% 98.9% - ✓
Points Off/Def 16.2% 83.8% - ✓

Actual: UCLA Bruins +30 (89-59). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Mair 36 2-11 0-4 0-0 2 8 1 0 3 4 1 +43.6
A. Jackson 32 5-15 4-9 4-6 1 2 0 1 0 18 7 +17.7
D. Thomas 31 4-8 0-0 2-5 8 0 0 0 1 10 9 +0.5
T. Fournier 30 7-14 0-1 3-4 10 0 0 2 2 17 13 +33.5
R. Nelson 21 0-2 0-2 0-0 1 1 1 0 1 0 0 +16.4
J. Donovan 20 0-0 0-0 0-0 2 3 3 0 2 0 6 +15.8
J. Wood 18 2-7 1-3 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 5 -3 +27.1
A. Roberson 12 2-8 1-3 0-0 3 0 0 0 1 5 -1 +15.9

UCLA Bruins

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
K. Rice 36 6-13 2-3 3-4 6 2 1 1 3 17 11 -21.0
G. Jaquez 36 8-16 3-5 4-4 5 2 0 0 2 23 12 -26.2
C. Leger-Walker 34 6-11 5-9 3-4 5 6 3 0 3 20 20 -24.9
G. Kneepkens 32 5-8 3-3 0-0 6 6 0 0 1 13 16 -20.9
A. Dugalić 22 4-8 0-2 4-4 8 0 1 0 1 12 12 -
A. Muse 21 1-1 0-0 0-0 2 0 1 0 1 2 3 -11.2
L. Bilić 14 1-2 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 2 2 -
C. Karamouzi 3 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 1 0 0 0 0 2 -
M. Grant 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 +0.2

* = starter