Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | California Golden Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 74.2% | 25.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 77.6% | 22.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 91.3% | 8.7% | -13.0 | ✓ (9.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 52.4% | 47.6% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 82.6% | 17.4% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 93.0% | 7.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 93.4% | 6.6% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 74.2% | 25.8% | - | ✓ |
Actual: California Golden Bears -4 (74-78). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Jackson | 39 | 6-14 | 3-8 | 2-2 | 1 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 17 | 12 | -11.0 |
| T. Mair | 35 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 16 | -8.0 |
| R. Nelson | 35 | 0-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -4.1 |
| T. Fournier | 27 | 3-11 | 0-1 | 6-8 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 12 | 10 | +5.4 |
| D. Thomas | 26 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20 | 9 | -8.4 |
| A. Roberson | 26 | 8-11 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 19 | -19.7 |
| J. Wood | 11 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | -1 | -11.7 |
| A. Wikstrom | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1.1 |
California Golden Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Sheppard | 40 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 9 | +15.9 |
| T. Barnes | 38 | 3-8 | 0-3 | 3-3 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9 | 10 | +16.1 |
| L. Twidale | 38 | 3-9 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 1 | +19.6 |
| G. Maul | 37 | 4-9 | 0-3 | 5-5 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 15 | +10.6 |
| S. Walker | 22 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 3 | +16.1 |
| N. Ojukwu | 18 | 3-10 | 0-0 | 8-11 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 14 | 15 | +2.0 |
| L. Donez | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +5.8 |
| G. McCallop | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -1.9 |
* = starter