Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | West Virginia Mountaineers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 46.6% | 53.4% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 44.5% | 55.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 47.5% | 52.5% | +0.5 | ✓ (7.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 40.5% | 59.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 56.3% | 43.7% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 58.6% | 41.4% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: West Virginia Mountaineers +8 (57-49). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Jackson | 36 | 3-10 | 2-7 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | +6.7 |
| T. Mair | 35 | 5-9 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 7 | +2.6 |
| T. Fournier | 24 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 4 | -8.3 |
| A. Roberson | 22 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 10 | +5.7 |
| E. Skinner | 21 | 1-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -6 | -7.8 |
| J. Donovan | 20 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 0 | -4.0 |
| D. Thomas | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 8 | +7.7 |
| R. Nelson | 14 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 0 | -3 | +3.8 |
| J. Wood | 13 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +3.7 |
West Virginia Mountaineers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Shaw | 38 | 4-13 | 0-5 | 8-10 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 9 | +5.2 |
| R. Makalusky | 28 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 9 | +3.1 |
| S. Woodley | 27 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3 | +1.8 |
| C. Rivière | 22 | 4-8 | 0-1 | 4-6 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 15 | - |
| L. Johnson | 20 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | +0.6 |
| J. Harrison | 18 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 1 | +1.0 |
| G. Cooke | 15 | 3-5 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 6 | -1.8 |
| K. Wheeler | 14 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0 | +0.1 |
| J. Thomas | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -2.3 |
| C. McCray | 8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1.1 |
* = starter