Model Predictions
| Model | NC State Wolfpack | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 15.0% | 85.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 23.4% | 76.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 15.9% | 84.1% | +9.2 | ✓ (8.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.3% | 55.7% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 30.5% | 69.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 13.5% | 86.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 12.5% | 87.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 28.9% | 71.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +18 (83-65). Predictions use season-end ratings.
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| K. Pierre | 34 | 9-24 | 0-0 | 6-7 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 24 | 3 | - |
| Z. Jones | 34 | 3-11 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 1 | - |
| Q. Samuels | 31 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Z. Brooks | 31 | 8-14 | 0-0 | 5-5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 10 | - |
| M. Cox | 21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| T. Trygger | 20 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| D. Lunan | 18 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | - |
| D. Quigley | 11 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Mair | 39 | 3-9 | 0-2 | 1-1 | 11 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 18 | - |
| A. Jackson | 39 | 7-13 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 16 | - |
| T. Fournier | 38 | 8-13 | 1-1 | 9-10 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 26 | 24 | - |
| R. Nelson | 37 | 4-13 | 2-8 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 1 | - |
| J. Wood | 19 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 2 | - |
| A. Roberson | 18 | 7-9 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 7 | - |
| D. Thomas | 10 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | - |
* = starter