Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | Baylor Bears | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 61.0% | 39.0% | -9.4 | ✗ (15.4 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 51.8% | 48.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 69.0% | 31.0% | -8.8 | ✗ (14.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 66.2% | 33.8% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 85.0% | 15.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 86.2% | 13.8% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 67.6% | 32.4% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Baylor Bears +6 (58-52). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taina Mair * | 38 | 3-14 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Toby Fournier * | 34 | 5-15 | 0-0 | 6-11 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 16 | 15 | - |
| Jadyn Donovan * | 30 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 2 | 8 | - |
| Ashlon Jackson * | 24 | 3-12 | 1-9 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 0 | - |
| Delaney Thomas * | 17 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 9 | - |
| Riley Nelson | 29 | 2-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 6 | -5 | - |
| Jordan Wood | 28 | 3-10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
Baylor Bears
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taliah Scott * | 36 | 7-18 | 2-7 | 8-10 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 12 | - |
| Darianna Littlepage-Buggs * | 36 | 3-12 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 7 | - |
| Kiersten Johnson * | 30 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Jana Van Gytenbeek * | 27 | 1-8 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5 | -2 | - |
| Bella Fontleroy * | 25 | 2-8 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Kyla Abraham | 20 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 9 | - |
| Marcayla Johnson | 19 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| Yuting Deng | 6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Kiera Pemberton | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter