Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | Virginia Tech Hokies | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 72.3% | 27.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 63.1% | 36.9% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 85.4% | 14.6% | -9.7 | ✓ (6.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 47.6% | 52.4% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 55.5% | 44.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 88.8% | 11.2% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 89.7% | 10.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 67.6% | 32.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Virginia Tech Hokies -16 (54-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Jackson | 38 | 4-9 | 2-6 | 2-2 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 12 | 8 | +12.1 |
| T. Mair | 34 | 5-11 | 2-3 | 5-5 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 15 | +17.5 |
| R. Nelson | 32 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +1.9 |
| T. Fournier | 28 | 7-16 | 0-2 | 5-14 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 19 | 15 | +12.8 |
| J. Wood | 19 | 2-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 9 | +13.0 |
| J. Donovan | 19 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | -8.3 |
| D. Thomas | 16 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 12 | +14.1 |
| E. Skinner | 14 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-3 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 7 | +6.2 |
Virginia Tech Hokies
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Baker | 36 | 2-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 6 | 5 | -2.9 |
| C. Wenzel | 34 | 4-17 | 3-7 | 4-4 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 15 | 2 | -10.4 |
| M. Nelson | 27 | 1-7 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 5 | -4.3 |
| M. Daley | 23 | 1-9 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 0 | -13.1 |
| S. Suffren | 18 | 2-7 | 0-2 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 3 | -3.4 |
| K. Freelon | 18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | -4.1 |
| K. Petersen | 15 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -2.1 |
| A. Trent | 13 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | -6.8 |
| L. Wells | 11 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 4 | +3.3 |
| A. Jenkins | 4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | +1.0 |
| S. Swanson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -3.8 |
* = starter