Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | UCLA Bruins | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 18.6% | 81.4% | - | β |
| Bradley-Terry | 25.9% | 74.1% | - | β |
| Margin | 4.2% | 95.8% | +17.1 | β (5.1 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | β |
| Efficiency | 1.7% | 98.3% | - | β |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 1.6% | 98.4% | - | β |
| Log Adjusted | 1.1% | 98.9% | - | β |
| Points Off/Def | 16.2% | 83.8% | - | β |
Actual: UCLA Bruins +12 (70-58). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Mair | 38 | 8-16 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 19 | - |
| A. Jackson | 37 | 0-8 | 0-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| R. Nelson | 37 | 6-11 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 6 | - |
| D. Thomas | 33 | 4-11 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 7 | - |
| T. Fournier | 27 | 5-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 3 | - |
| A. Roberson | 15 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
| J. Wood | 13 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | -2 | - |
UCLA Bruins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. Betts | 38 | 9-14 | 0-0 | 5-6 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 23 | 25 | - |
| K. Rice | 36 | 2-10 | 0-2 | 3-4 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 6 | - |
| C. Leger-Walker | 31 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10 | - |
| G. Jaquez | 31 | 4-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 5 | - |
| A. DugaliΔ | 30 | 7-13 | 0-4 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 11 | - |
| G. Kneepkens | 27 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 0 | - |
| S. Betts | 7 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
* = starter