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2026-03-07

Model Predictions

Model Notre Dame Fighting Irish Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
Elo 48.3% 51.7% -
Bradley-Terry 28.6% 71.4% -
Margin 24.2% 75.8% +6.3 (4.3 off)
Pythagorean 46.5% 53.5% -
Efficiency 38.2% 61.8% -
Adjusted Efficiency 21.6% 78.4% -
Log Adjusted 20.5% 79.5% -
Points Off/Def 35.0% 65.0% -

Actual: Duke Blue Devils +2 (65-63). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
H. Hidalgo 40 10-24 1-3 3-3 8 2 4 0 6 24 8 -
I. Moore 37 3-13 2-6 6-6 2 2 1 0 2 14 4 -
V. de Jesus 35 4-10 2-6 0-0 6 1 0 0 2 10 5 -
C. Prosper 33 3-8 0-2 1-3 4 0 4 1 4 7 4 -
KK Bransford 20 1-2 1-1 1-2 2 0 1 0 0 4 5 -
G. Sanchez 18 2-2 0-0 0-0 0 0 2 1 0 4 5 -
M. Cowles 17 0-1 0-0 0-0 5 1 1 1 0 0 7 -

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
T. Mair 38 6-11 2-5 2-2 8 8 3 0 2 16 22 -
A. Jackson 35 1-11 1-7 0-0 6 2 1 0 3 3 -2 -
R. Nelson 34 4-11 1-5 1-3 5 5 1 1 2 10 9 -
T. Fournier 34 7-15 0-0 0-1 8 2 2 4 2 14 13 -
D. Thomas 31 4-10 0-0 1-1 10 0 2 0 3 9 8 -
J. Wood 15 2-2 1-1 1-2 2 1 0 0 3 6 4 -
A. Roberson 13 3-8 0-1 1-2 1 0 0 1 5 7 -4 -

* = starter