Model Predictions
| Model | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.8% | 82.2% | +8.3 | ✓ (6.3 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 31.3% | 68.7% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 31.8% | 68.2% | +8.4 | ✓ (6.4 off) |
| Pythagorean | 36.8% | 63.2% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 21.0% | 79.0% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 22.1% | 77.9% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 32.0% | 68.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +2 (65-63). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
RAPM GS requires a reviewed game-score run and a qualified player and game match. A dash means the score is unavailable.
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hannah Hidalgo * | 40 | 10-24 | 1-3 | 3-3 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 24 | 8 | - |
| Iyana Moore * | 37 | 3-13 | 2-6 | 6-6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 4 | - |
| Vanessa de Jesus * | 35 | 4-10 | 2-6 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 5 | - |
| Cassandre Prosper * | 33 | 3-8 | 0-2 | 1-3 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 4 | - |
| Malaya Cowles * | 17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7 | - |
| KK Bransford | 20 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
| Gisela Sanchez | 18 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Taina Mair * | 38 | 6-11 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 22 | - |
| Ashlon Jackson * | 35 | 1-11 | 1-7 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | -2 | - |
| Toby Fournier * | 34 | 7-15 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 13 | - |
| Riley Nelson * | 34 | 4-11 | 1-5 | 1-3 | 5 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 9 | - |
| Delaney Thomas * | 31 | 4-10 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 8 | - |
| Jordan Wood | 15 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 4 | - |
| Arianna Roberson | 13 | 3-8 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 7 | -4 | - |
* = starter