Model Predictions
| Model | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 17.8% | 82.2% | +8.3 | ✓ (5.7 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 32.7% | 67.3% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 17.9% | 82.1% | +8.4 | ✓ (5.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 45.6% | 54.4% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 33.4% | 66.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 14.4% | 85.6% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 13.3% | 86.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 31.3% | 68.7% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +14 (82-68). Ratings: 2025-26 season-end ratings.
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cassandre Prosper * | 40 | 5-13 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 10 | -0.3 |
| Hannah Hidalgo * | 39 | 9-19 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 19 | +11.3 |
| Malaya Cowles * | 36 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 5 | -14.1 |
| Vanessa de Jesus * | 34 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -4.1 |
| Gisela Sanchez * | 23 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | +2.9 |
| Iyana Moore | 28 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 6 | +3.1 |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ashlon Jackson * | 38 | 4-12 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 7 | +11.4 |
| Toby Fournier * | 37 | 9-16 | 0-4 | 2-6 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 19 | +16.5 |
| Taina Mair * | 37 | 7-12 | 4-4 | 5-5 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 21 | +9.1 |
| Delaney Thomas * | 34 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 18 | +13.6 |
| Riley Nelson * | 31 | 4-10 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | +4.5 |
| Jordan Wood | 13 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | +4.3 |
| Arianna Roberson | 10 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -5.9 |
* = starter