Model Predictions
| Model | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.6% | 71.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 24.2% | 75.8% | +6.3 | ✓ (7.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.5% | 53.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 38.2% | 61.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 21.6% | 78.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 20.5% | 79.5% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 35.0% | 65.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +14 (82-68). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Prosper | 40 | 5-13 | 0-1 | 5-5 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 10 | -2.0 |
| H. Hidalgo | 39 | 9-19 | 4-8 | 0-2 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 19 | +3.5 |
| M. Cowles | 36 | 5-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 5 | -11.1 |
| V. de Jesus | 34 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0 | -10.9 |
| I. Moore | 28 | 4-8 | 2-4 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 12 | 6 | -3.2 |
| G. Sanchez | 23 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 5 | +2.8 |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Jackson | 38 | 4-12 | 1-2 | 4-5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 6 | 13 | 7 | +7.3 |
| T. Fournier | 37 | 9-16 | 0-4 | 2-6 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 20 | 19 | +18.3 |
| T. Mair | 37 | 7-12 | 4-4 | 5-5 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 21 | +11.1 |
| D. Thomas | 34 | 4-9 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 18 | +7.1 |
| R. Nelson | 31 | 4-10 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11 | 7 | +6.3 |
| J. Wood | 13 | 2-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 4 | +5.1 |
| A. Roberson | 10 | 0-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | -1 | -4.1 |
* = starter