Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | Belmont Bruins | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 79.3% | 20.7% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 81.4% | 18.6% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 98.8% | 1.2% | -24.2 | ✓ (5.8 off) |
| Pythagorean | 54.5% | 45.5% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 91.1% | 8.9% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 96.6% | 3.4% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 96.7% | 3.3% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 88.6% | 11.4% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Belmont Bruins -30 (46-76). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Jackson | 35 | 3-11 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | +19.2 |
| R. Nelson | 33 | 7-12 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 8 | +20.7 |
| T. Fournier | 30 | 9-15 | 1-2 | 7-14 | 16 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 26 | 29 | +19.0 |
| T. Mair | 30 | 3-7 | 1-4 | 2-2 | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 9 | +17.4 |
| D. Thomas | 26 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 13 | +7.3 |
| A. Roberson | 17 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 3-4 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | +2.0 |
| A. Wikstrom | 17 | 0-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -5 | -7.1 |
| J. Wood | 12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | +3.1 |
Belmont Bruins
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| S. Tripp | 34 | 1-10 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4 | -8 | -20.2 |
| Q. Eubank | 33 | 2-7 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 9 | +22.7 |
| T. Jones | 31 | 2-10 | 0-5 | 2-2 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 8 | -15.0 |
| A. Strickland | 27 | 1-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -17.1 |
| H. Fuller | 23 | 7-15 | 1-2 | 4-6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 19 | 7 | +1.2 |
| K. McGinnis | 21 | 1-8 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4 | +2.2 |
| K. Brodie | 19 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | -16.7 |
| C. Hyde | 12 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | -0.9 |
* = starter