Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | LSU Tigers | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 43.0% | 57.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 46.8% | 53.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 4.9% | 95.1% | +16.3 | ✗ (18.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 44.7% | 55.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 9.6% | 90.4% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 9.3% | 90.7% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 17.9% | 82.1% | - | ✗ |
Actual: LSU Tigers -2 (85-87). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Mair | 36 | 8-18 | 4-10 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 14 | - |
| A. Jackson | 36 | 6-14 | 2-8 | 5-8 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 12 | - |
| T. Fournier | 32 | 6-15 | 0-1 | 10-12 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 22 | 17 | - |
| J. Wood | 31 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 9 | - |
| A. Roberson | 23 | 4-12 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 9 | - |
| R. Nelson | 23 | 2-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | - |
| D. Thomas | 19 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5 | - |
LSU Tigers
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Williams | 35 | 6-15 | 1-4 | 9-9 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22 | 10 | - |
| M. Fulwiley | 32 | 11-17 | 2-2 | 4-4 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 28 | 19 | - |
| F. Johnson | 30 | 6-15 | 0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 2 | - |
| A. Joyner | 26 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 7 | - |
| G. Knox | 22 | 3-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 7 | - |
| K. Koval | 21 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 4 | - |
| J. Richard | 21 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 4 | - |
| B. Hines | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Z. Johnson | 6 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | - |
* = starter