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Duke

Season: 2027 preview 2026 2025 2024 2023 2022 2021 2020 2019 2018 2017
Also known as: Duke Blue Devils, Duke
Program History
Coach: Mike Krzyzewski

2017 Team Stats (29 games)

81.0
PPG
72.2
Opp
+8.7
Margin
47.2%
FG%
37.9%
3P%
76.9%
FT%
36.1
RPG
13.2
APG
11.3
TO
-
Est. poss./game
83.2
Adj PPG
64.0
Adj Opp PPG
#10
Scoring Rank

Model Outputs

2016-2017
Catalog

Output is shown as model rating with league rank in parentheses when available.

Model Output Notes
Elo Elo Streaming paired-comparison rating with recency baked into sequential updates. More → 1439 (#11) -
Bradley-Terry Bradley-Terry Static logistic paired-comparison model with one team strength parameter. More → 1344 (#9) -
Bradley-Terry Recency Bradley-Terry Recency Static Bradley-Terry with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +89 elo More → 1163 (#17) HCA +89 elo
Margin Margin Linear team-strength model fit on point differential instead of binary wins. HCA +2.6 More → +20.6 (#10) HCA +2.6
Margin Recency Margin Recency Margin regression with exponential recency weights on newer games. HCA +2.6 More → +17.5 (#17) HCA +2.6
Pythagorean Pythagorean Pythagorean win expectation from raw points scored and allowed. More → 0.835 (#21) -
Adjusted Efficiency Adjusted Efficiency Opponent-adjusted efficiency model with separate offensive and defensive components. AdjNet +28.3 More → 0.963 (#11) AdjNet +28.3
Log Adjusted Log Adjusted Log-scale adjusted efficiency model that downweights blowout leverage. AdjNet +28.7 More → 0.965 (#11) AdjNet +28.7
Points Off/Def Points Off/Def Raw points regression with separate offensive and defensive team parameters. AdjO 83.2 | AdjD 64.0 More → 0.852 (#10) AdjO 83.2 | AdjD 64.0
Points Off/Def Recency Points Off/Def Recency Off/def points regression with exponential recency weights. AdjO 80.0 | AdjD 68.5 More → 0.740 (#17) AdjO 80.0 | AdjD 68.5
Core Ensemble Core Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.889 (#10) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Recency Ensemble Recency Ensemble Equal-logit blend of Elo, recency BT, recency margin, log-adjusted pyth, and recency points off/def. Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD More → 0.874 (#13) Blend of Elo, BT, Margin, PythLog, PtsOD
Dynamic Bradley-Terry Dynamic Bradley-Terry Time-evolving paired-comparison model with latent team strength drift. RD 100 | GP 37 More → 1338 (#13) RD 100 | GP 37

2017 Schedule & Results

Date Vs/At Opponent Result Score
2016-11-11 vs Marist Red Foxes W 94 - 49
2016-11-12 vs Grand Canyon Lopes W 96 - 61
2016-11-15 @ Kansas Jayhawks L 75 - 77
2016-11-19 vs Penn State Nittany Lions W 78 - 68
2016-11-20 vs Rhode Island Rams W 75 - 65
2016-11-23 vs William & Mary Tribe W 88 - 67
2016-11-26 vs App State Mountaineers W 93 - 58
2016-11-29 vs Michigan State Spartans W 78 - 69
2016-12-03 vs Maine Black Bears W 94 - 55
2016-12-06 vs Florida Gators W 84 - 74
2016-12-10 @ UNLV Rebels W 94 - 45
2016-12-19 vs Tennessee State Tigers W 65 - 55
2016-12-21 @ Elon Phoenix W 72 - 61
2016-12-31 @ Virginia Tech Hokies L 75 - 89
2017-01-04 vs Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets W 110 - 57
2017-01-07 vs Boston College Eagles W 93 - 82
2017-01-10 @ Florida State Seminoles L 72 - 88
2017-01-14 @ Louisville Cardinals L 69 - 78
2017-01-21 vs Miami Hurricanes W 70 - 58
2017-01-23 vs NC State Wolfpack L 82 - 84
2017-01-28 @ Wake Forest Demon Deacons W 85 - 83
2017-01-30 @ Notre Dame Fighting Irish W 84 - 74
2017-02-04 vs Pittsburgh Panthers W 72 - 64
2017-02-09 vs North Carolina Tar Heels W 86 - 78
2017-02-11 vs Clemson Tigers W 64 - 62
2017-02-15 @ Virginia Cavaliers W 65 - 55
2017-02-18 vs Wake Forest Demon Deacons W 99 - 94
2017-02-22 @ Syracuse Orange L 75 - 78
2017-02-25 @ Miami Hurricanes L 50 - 55
2017-02-28 vs Florida State Seminoles W 75 - 70
2017-03-04 @ North Carolina Tar Heels L 83 - 90
2017-03-08 vs Clemson Tigers W 79 - 72
2017-03-09 @ Louisville Cardinals W 81 - 77
2017-03-10 @ North Carolina Tar Heels W 93 - 83
2017-03-11 @ Notre Dame Fighting Irish W 75 - 69
2017-03-17 vs Troy Trojans W 87 - 65
2017-03-19 vs South Carolina Gamecocks L 81 - 88

2017 Roster

Minutes by Position

The surface stays filled across the five on-court roles. Use the labels or legend to isolate how each player absorbs guard-to-big minutes.

Player Pos GP MIN PTS REB AST STL BLK TO FGA Numbers PM PM GP PM/G PM/40 FG% 3P% FT% RAPM TS% eFG%
Luke Kennard Luke Kennard - 34 35.6 19.6 4.9 2.4 0.8 0.4 1.7 11.1 15.3 266 31 8.6 10.5 48.1 43.3 84.6 1.89 74.6 57.1
Jayson Tatum Jayson Tatum - 28 33.6 17.0 7.4 2.1 1.3 1.1 2.7 11.8 14.5 110 23 4.8 6.3 43.9 30.8 82.9 1.29 61.8 48.9
Grayson Allen Grayson Allen - 31 29.6 13.9 3.7 3.6 0.7 0.0 2.2 8.2 11.6 230 28 8.2 12.0 41.1 38.1 80.8 2.77 70.1 53.8
Amile Jefferson Amile Jefferson F 32 29.7 10.9 8.0 1.5 0.7 1.9 1.4 5.4 16.3 269 29 9.3 13.5 59.9 0 66.4 3.27 79.9 59.9
Frank Jackson Frank Jackson - 33 24.8 10.8 2.6 1.6 0.5 0.1 1.3 6.6 7.7 212 30 7.1 12.4 47.7 41.3 73.5 1.46 69.9 57.6
Matt Jones Matt Jones G 34 33.1 6.9 2.8 2.0 1.7 0.2 1.1 5.4 7.0 248 31 8.0 10.7 40.1 34.2 80.0 2.01 61.1 50.5
Harry Giles III Harry Giles III - 26 11.5 3.9 3.8 0.3 0.3 0.7 0.7 2.9 5.5 -5 21 -0.2 -0.9 56.6 0 50.0 -1.81 59.5 56.6
Antonio Vrankovic Antonio Vrankovic C 11 7.1 2.5 2.2 0.4 0.0 0.4 0.5 1.2 3.8 85 13 6.5 36.2 84.6 0 57.1 4.55 87.1 84.6
Chase Jeter Chase Jeter C 13 15.2 2.2 2.4 0.2 0.5 1.0 1.3 1.0 4.0 78 14 5.6 15.6 38.5 0 60.0 1.0 80.5 38.5
Jack White Jack White - 8 5.6 2.0 1.2 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.2 1.1 2.2 12 10 1.2 9.0 66.7 50.0 75.0 -2.72 74.3 72.2
Marques Bolden Marques Bolden - 23 6.3 1.3 1.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 1.3 1.3 29 17 1.7 10.8 44.8 0 62.5 -1.29 47.7 44.8
Javin DeLaurier Javin DeLaurier F 10 6.1 1.1 1.3 0.1 0.4 0.3 0.7 0.7 1.8 62 9 6.9 33.2 71.4 0.0 50.0 1.53 69.8 71.4
Nick Pagliuca Nick Pagliuca G 4 1.5 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 - - - - 0.0 0.0 0 -1.57 0.0 0.0
Justin Robinson Justin Robinson F 5 1.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -4 5 -0.8 -27.5 0 0 0 -2.15 0 0

Numbers/Game vs RAPM

X-axis = Numbers/Game (PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA), Y-axis = RAPM.

Advanced: Numbers = PTS+REB+AST+STL+BLK-TO-FGA, PM = total +/-, PM/G = per game, PM/40 = per 40 minutes, RAPM = Regularized Adj Plus-Minus, TS% = True Shooting, eFG% = Effective FG