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2017-02-04

Model Predictions

Model Pittsburgh Panthers Duke Blue Devils Spread Result
Elo 9.5% 90.5% -
Bradley-Terry 11.1% 88.9% -
Margin 5.8% 94.2% +15.3 (7.3 off)
Pythagorean 22.0% 78.0% -
Efficiency 2.1% 97.9% -
Adjusted Efficiency 16.9% 83.1% -
Log Adjusted 16.1% 83.9% -

Actual: Duke Blue Devils +8 (72-64). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Pittsburgh Panthers

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
J. Artis 40 6-16 0-6 5-7 9 4 0 0 2 17 12 -
M. Young 38 10-17 0-2 4-7 4 2 1 2 0 24 16 -
C. Jones 36 4-6 1-2 0-0 2 1 0 0 3 9 3 -
C. Johnson 35 1-4 1-3 0-0 6 2 3 0 2 3 8 -
S. Jeter 25 2-3 0-0 0-0 3 0 0 0 3 4 1 -
R. Nix 16 3-4 0-0 1-2 5 0 0 0 0 7 8 -
D. Wilson 9 0-1 0-1 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -
J. Milligan 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
L. Kennard 40 4-12 2-7 0-0 2 3 2 0 1 10 4 -
G. Allen 40 6-13 5-11 4-4 6 6 0 0 2 21 18 -
A. Jefferson 36 6-12 0-0 3-4 9 3 0 5 2 15 18 -
J. Tatum 35 4-7 2-3 2-2 6 2 1 1 1 12 14 -
F. Jackson 27 3-8 2-6 0-0 1 5 0 0 2 8 4 -
M. Jones 14 0-1 0-1 1-3 1 0 0 0 0 1 1 -
H. Giles III 7 2-2 0-0 1-1 0 0 0 0 0 5 3 -
M. Bolden 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -

* = starter