Model Predictions
| Model | Penn State Nittany Lions | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 7.9% | 92.1% | +16.6 | ✓ (6.6 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 13.5% | 86.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 5.0% | 95.0% | +16.2 | ✓ (6.2 off) |
| Pythagorean | 32.5% | 67.5% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 3.5% | 96.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 3.3% | 96.7% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 18.7% | 81.3% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +10 (78-68). Ratings: 2016-17 season-end ratings.
Penn State Nittany Lions
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tony Carr * | 36 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 26 | - |
| Shep Garner * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 19 | - |
| Payton Banks * | 32 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 16 | - |
| Lamar Stevens * | 31 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 20 | - |
| Mike Watkins * | 10 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| Julian Moore | 24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 7 | - |
| Deivis Zemgulis | 8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -1 | - |
| Nazeer Bostick | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luke Kennard * | 40 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 21 | - |
| Matt Jones * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Amile Jefferson * | 37 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 16 | 34 | - |
| Grayson Allen * | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 23 | - |
| Chase Jeter * | 6 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | - |
| Frank Jackson | 35 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17 | 22 | - |
| Antonio Vrankovic | 7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | - |
| Javin DeLaurier | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter