Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 55.0% | 45.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 48.8% | 51.2% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 54.7% | 45.3% | -1.0 | ✓ (5.0 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.7% | 51.3% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 64.5% | 35.5% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 64.6% | 35.4% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 51.0% | 49.0% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Notre Dame Fighting Irish -6 (69-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayson Tatum * | 39 | 7-11 | 0-2 | 5-7 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 19 | 17 | - |
| Luke Kennard * | 38 | 6-13 | 2-5 | 2-3 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 8 | - |
| Amile Jefferson * | 35 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 15 | - |
| Matt Jones * | 31 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | - |
| Frank Jackson * | 26 | 4-6 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 5 | - |
| Grayson Allen | 21 | 4-9 | 1-5 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 10 | 1 | - |
| Harry Giles | 10 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | - |
Notre Dame Fighting Irish
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Farrell * | 39 | 5-12 | 1-6 | 2-3 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 9 | - |
| Bonzie Colson * | 38 | 12-21 | 2-3 | 3-5 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 29 | 19 | - |
| Steve Vasturia * | 38 | 2-9 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 1 | - |
| V.J. Beachem * | 35 | 6-14 | 1-6 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 6 | - |
| Rex Pflueger * | 27 | 2-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | - |
| Matt Ryan | 14 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 2-2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | -1 | - |
| Martinas Geben | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
| T.J. Gibbs | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Austin Torres | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | - |
* = starter