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2017-01-30

Model Predictions

Model Duke Blue Devils Notre Dame Fighting Irish Spread Result
Elo 92.1% 7.9% -
Bradley-Terry 65.1% 34.9% -
Margin 84.1% 15.9% -9.2 (0.8 off)
Pythagorean 48.3% 51.7% -
Efficiency 58.0% 42.0% -
Adjusted Efficiency 55.1% 44.9% -
Log Adjusted 55.5% 44.5% -

Actual: Notre Dame Fighting Irish -10 (74-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.

Duke Blue Devils

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Jones * 38 5-6 1-2 5-5 5 3 1 0 1 16 18 -
J. Tatum * 37 8-14 0-1 3-3 14 2 1 1 5 19 18 -
G. Allen * 36 6-13 3-7 6-6 5 3 0 1 3 21 14 -
L. Kennard * 32 5-11 1-2 5-5 4 2 0 0 1 16 10 -
A. Jefferson * 31 3-7 0-0 0-1 4 0 1 0 1 6 3 -
F. Jackson 15 0-1 0-0 2-2 0 0 1 1 2 2 1 -
H. Giles III 9 1-2 0-0 2-2 5 1 0 0 1 4 7 -
A. Vrankovic 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 1 0 -1 -

Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Player MIN FG 3PT FT REB AST STL BLK TO PTS Numbers RAPM GS
M. Farrell * 37 3-9 2-5 3-4 2 4 3 0 2 11 9 -
S. Vasturia * 36 1-9 0-5 5-6 2 4 0 0 1 7 3 -
V.J. Beachem * 35 7-14 2-6 4-4 3 0 2 2 1 20 12 -
B. Colson * 34 8-12 0-1 1-3 9 1 0 2 0 17 17 -
M. Geben * 7 0-0 0-0 0-0 1 0 0 0 1 0 0 -
R. Pflueger 20 2-4 1-2 2-3 4 2 0 0 1 7 8 -
T. Gibbs 19 3-7 2-2 4-4 3 1 1 0 2 12 8 -
A. Torres 8 0-0 0-0 0-4 1 0 0 0 0 0 1 -
M. Ryan 2 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
E. Burns 1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -
J. Mooney 1 0-1 0-0 0-0 0 0 0 0 0 0 -1 -

* = starter