Model Predictions
| Model | NC State Wolfpack | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 10.1% | 89.9% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 27.2% | 72.8% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 9.0% | 91.0% | +12.7 | ✗ (14.7 off) |
| Pythagorean | 10.7% | 89.3% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 1.0% | 99.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 2.5% | 97.5% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 2.3% | 97.7% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils -2 (82-84). Predictions use season-end ratings.
NC State Wolfpack
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| A. Abu * | 36 | 8-12 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 19 | 18 | - |
| D. Smith Jr. * | 33 | 10-18 | 4-6 | 8-15 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 32 | 23 | - |
| T. Henderson * | 32 | 1-5 | 0-3 | 4-5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 3 | - |
| M. Rowan * | 30 | 2-7 | 2-6 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 6 | - |
| O. Yurtseven * | 12 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | -1 | - |
| M. Johnson | 21 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | -1 | - |
| T. Kapita | 19 | 6-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 16 | - |
| T. Dorn | 11 | 1-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | - |
| B. Anya | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| D. Hicks | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| M. Jones * | 34 | 4-11 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 7 | - |
| J. Tatum * | 31 | 7-14 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 15 | - |
| A. Jefferson * | 28 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 10 | - |
| F. Jackson * | 21 | 3-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 6 | - |
| M. Bolden * | 18 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| L. Kennard | 27 | 5-9 | 2-5 | 8-10 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 20 | - |
| G. Allen | 26 | 4-13 | 1-9 | 4-5 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 1 | - |
| H. Giles III | 14 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 10 | - |
| J. DeLaurier | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter