Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | Louisville Cardinals | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 79.0% | 21.0% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 59.6% | 40.4% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 79.7% | 20.3% | -7.5 | ✓ (3.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 40.2% | 59.8% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 26.3% | 73.7% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 25.4% | 74.6% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 25.4% | 74.6% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Louisville Cardinals -4 (77-81). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Tatum | 39 | 9-15 | 1-2 | 6-8 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 18 | - |
| L. Kennard | 38 | 7-16 | 3-8 | 7-9 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 24 | 20 | - |
| G. Allen | 28 | 5-12 | 2-3 | 6-7 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18 | 9 | - |
| F. Jackson | 28 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 3-7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| A. Jefferson | 25 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6 | - |
| M. Jones | 23 | 0-3 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| H. Giles III | 15 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 8 | - |
| M. Bolden | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Louisville Cardinals
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Adel | 38 | 7-14 | 2-6 | 5-6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21 | 12 | - |
| Q. Snider | 34 | 5-13 | 1-6 | 4-6 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 10 | - |
| D. Mitchell | 32 | 3-14 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 8 | -2 | - |
| M. Mathiang | 23 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 14 | - |
| R. Spalding | 23 | 4-5 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 11 | - |
| A. Mahmoud | 19 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 1-4 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 15 | - |
| J. Johnson | 16 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | - |
| D. Levitch | 6 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | - |
| V.J. King | 5 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 1 | - |
| T. Hicks | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Henderson | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| R. McMahon | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter