Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | Syracuse Orange | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 69.0% | 31.0% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 72.6% | 27.4% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 73.2% | 26.8% | -5.5 | ✗ (8.5 off) |
| Pythagorean | 51.6% | 48.4% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 79.0% | 21.0% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 79.4% | 20.6% | - | ✗ |
| Points Off/Def | 60.8% | 39.2% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Syracuse Orange +3 (78-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayson Tatum * | 40 | 8-17 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 18 | - |
| Matt Jones * | 40 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| Luke Kennard * | 37 | 8-19 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 17 | - |
| Grayson Allen * | 29 | 2-11 | 1-8 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -2 | - |
| Amile Jefferson * | 28 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 8-9 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 17 | - |
| Frank Jackson | 15 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Harry Giles | 11 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
Syracuse Orange
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Gillon | 40 | 9-14 | 3-4 | 5-5 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 21 | - |
| Andrew White | 40 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| Tyler Lydon * | 40 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 14 | - |
| Tyus Battle * | 33 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 13 | - |
| Taurean Thompson * | 22 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 5 | - |
| Tyler Roberson | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| Frank Howard | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
* = starter