Model Predictions
| Model | Duke Blue Devils | Syracuse Orange | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 83.3% | 16.7% | - | ✗ |
| Bradley-Terry | 66.9% | 33.1% | - | ✗ |
| Margin | 82.8% | 17.2% | -8.6 | ✗ (11.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 57.5% | 42.5% | - | ✗ |
| Efficiency | 88.0% | 12.0% | - | ✗ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 68.8% | 31.2% | - | ✗ |
| Log Adjusted | 69.0% | 31.0% | - | ✗ |
Actual: Syracuse Orange +3 (78-75). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Tatum * | 40 | 8-17 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 18 | - |
| M. Jones * | 40 | 1-6 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | - |
| L. Kennard * | 37 | 8-19 | 5-9 | 2-3 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 23 | 17 | - |
| G. Allen * | 29 | 2-11 | 1-8 | 3-3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8 | -2 | - |
| A. Jefferson * | 28 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 8-9 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 14 | 17 | - |
| F. Jackson | 15 | 0-4 | 0-4 | 2-2 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| H. Giles III | 11 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 7 | - |
Syracuse Orange
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J. Gillon | 40 | 9-14 | 3-4 | 5-5 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 26 | 21 | - |
| A. White III | 40 | 1-4 | 1-2 | 4-4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 5 | - |
| T. Lydon * | 40 | 3-6 | 1-1 | 4-4 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 14 | - |
| T. Battle * | 33 | 6-11 | 1-3 | 5-6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 18 | 13 | - |
| T. Thompson * | 22 | 4-7 | 0-0 | 3-4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 5 | - |
| T. Roberson | 18 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 4 | - |
| F. Howard | 7 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | - |
* = starter