Model Predictions
| Model | Florida State Seminoles | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 4.2% | 95.8% | - | ✓ |
| Bradley-Terry | 28.5% | 71.5% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 9.6% | 90.4% | +12.3 | ✓ (7.3 off) |
| Pythagorean | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✓ |
| Efficiency | 46.2% | 53.8% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 48.3% | 51.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 48.1% | 51.9% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +5 (75-70). Predictions use season-end ratings.
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| D. Bacon * | 31 | 6-9 | 2-4 | 5-5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 13 | - |
| X. Rathan-Mayes * | 31 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 2 | - |
| J. Isaac * | 25 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| T. Mann * | 24 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| M. Ojo * | 10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| T. Forrest | 19 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 9 | - |
| CJ Walker | 15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| B. Angola-Rodas | 12 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| P. Cofer | 11 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| P. Savoy | 9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| J. Smith | 7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| C. Koumadje | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| N. Pagliuca | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| J. Robinson | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| L. Kennard * | 40 | 5-13 | 2-5 | 5-6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 9 | - |
| J. Tatum * | 39 | 5-13 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 14 | - |
| M. Jones * | 34 | 2-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -1 | - |
| F. Jackson * | 33 | 8-15 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 11 | - |
| A. Jefferson * | 31 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 22 | - |
| G. Allen | 16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| H. Giles III | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| M. Bolden | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter