Model Predictions
| Model | Florida State Seminoles | Duke Blue Devils | Spread | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elo | 16.1% | 83.9% | +10.8 | ✓ (5.8 off) |
| Bradley-Terry | 36.0% | 64.0% | - | ✓ |
| Margin | 26.5% | 73.5% | +5.6 | ✓ (0.6 off) |
| Pythagorean | 46.4% | 53.6% | - | ✓ |
| Adjusted Efficiency | 31.3% | 68.7% | - | ✓ |
| Log Adjusted | 30.8% | 69.2% | - | ✓ |
| Points Off/Def | 36.9% | 63.1% | - | ✓ |
Actual: Duke Blue Devils +5 (75-70). Ratings: 2016-17 season-end ratings.
Florida State Seminoles
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dwayne Bacon * | 31 | 6-9 | 2-4 | 5-5 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 13 | - |
| Xavier Rathan-Mayes * | 31 | 7-13 | 0-0 | 1-3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 2 | - |
| Jonathan Isaac * | 25 | 3-7 | 1-3 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 9 | - |
| Terance Mann * | 24 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 1 | - |
| Michael Ojo * | 10 | 1-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | - |
| Trent Forrest | 19 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 9 | - |
| CJ Walker | 15 | 1-4 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Braian Angola-Rodas | 12 | 3-6 | 0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 4 | - |
| Phil Cofer | 11 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | - |
| PJ Savoy | 9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 3 | - |
| Jarquez Smith | 7 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | -3 | - |
| Christ Koumadje | 6 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
Duke Blue Devils
| Player | MIN | FG | 3PT | FT | REB | AST | STL | BLK | TO | PTS | Numbers | RAPM GS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Pagliuca | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Justin Robinson | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
| Luke Kennard * | 40 | 5-13 | 2-5 | 5-6 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 9 | - |
| Jayson Tatum * | 39 | 5-13 | 1-5 | 4-4 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 14 | - |
| Matt Jones * | 34 | 2-9 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | -1 | - |
| Frank Jackson * | 33 | 8-15 | 3-4 | 3-4 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22 | 11 | - |
| Amile Jefferson * | 31 | 6-6 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 22 | - |
| Grayson Allen | 16 | 1-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | - |
| Harry Giles | 5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | - |
| Marques Bolden | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | - |
* = starter